Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
295median
250340
Median 295Middle half 285 – 306.0
Install
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
Settled 310.00A day before, traders had a median of 310.1
The last odds before it closed
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- ✓ Above 26099%▲ 1
- ✓ Above 27099%▲ 3
- ✓ Above 28099%▲ 5
- ✓ Above 29099%▲ 14
- ✓ Above 30099%▲ 30
- Above 3101%▼ 51
- Above 3201%▼ 12
- Above 3301%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 260 | 99% | 13.7K | ||||
| ✓ Above 270 | 99% | 9.1K | ||||
| ✓ Above 280 | 99% | 18.3K | ||||
| ✓ Above 290 | 99% | 17.0K | ||||
| ✓ Above 300 | 99% | 29.7K | ||||
| ✗ Above 310 | 1% | 34.2K | ||||
| ✗ Above 320 | 1% | 52.8K | ||||
| ✗ Above 330 | 1% | 84.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Suez Canal
Search ›-
UT historian Roger Louis, British Empire scholar, dies at 90Wm. Roger Louis, distinguished UT historian of the British Empire, died Friday at age 90. Roger Louis, who wrote or edited more than 60 books on the British Empire and taught at University of Texas for 50 years, died Friday at his Austin… -
PETER HITCHENS: Suez Crisis made Britain a second-rate, humiliated nation. 70 years on, Labour is trying to make us a third-rate stateFor me, October 1956, 70 years ago, is the point at which history turns into the present day. This is because I can just remember it. It is also the point at which the world turns from black and white into colour. Before, everything in… -
Santorini Serves Lionfish to 300+ Diners in Guinness World Record BidDuring the lionfish tasting record attempt, every guest tried at least three different recipes. Chefs from Greece and abroad cooked the dishes alongside restaurant professionals. Why a lionfish tasting record matters The night formed part… - Hapag-Lloyd Plans Broader Return to Suez Canal TransitsHapag-Lloyd, the Hamburg-based shipping company, expects additional services to resume transits through the Suez Canal, according to a statement from the Suez Canal Authority reported by Arab Finance. The anticipated expansion would add to…
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Ethiopia Calls for Shared Red Sea SecurityETHIOPIA · RED SEA SECURITY Ethiopia’s intelligence chief says no handful of countries can keep the Red Sea safe alone. He spoke on Friday, 23 October, as a regional security forum opened in Bahir Dar. Ethiopia called for shared Red Sea… -
Egypt targets 12.5 million feddans of farmland, annual car production of +100k: MadboulyEgypt aims to expand its cultivated area to 12.5 million feddans, increase annual domestic car production to more than 100,000 vehicles and raise local content in automotive manufacturing to 60%, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said in a… -
More shipping services expected to return to Suez CanalAdm. Ossama Rabiee, Chairman of the Suez Canal Authority, met with Juan Pablo Richards, Regional Head for Southern Europe at Hapag-Lloyd, to discuss ways of strengthening cooperation. The meeting took place at the Authority's headquarters… - Intense diplomacy ongoing as Egypt seeks to avert regional escalation: foreign ministry spokesmanZaki added in an interview with 'Al-Sharq' that Istanbul witnessed highly important meetings, including between the R4 group countries, namely Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, which he described as "like-minded" countries, and on…
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Iran War Updates: Trump envoy says war could last another year as oil prices continue risingOctober 23, 2026 / 5:38 AM EDT / CBS News U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz has said the war with Iran could drag on for another year. Waltz told the FT the U.S. will not have achieved its key goals in Iran until the country… -
New Drewry data shows import demand boosting trans-Pacific ratesDrewry’s World Container Index rose 2% to $4,585 per 40-foot container, supported by higher rates on trans-Pacific and Asia-Europe routes as strong U.S. import demand and carrier capacity cuts bolstered pricing. Shanghai-to-Los Angeles… - In 1956, Moscow agreed to withdraw its troops from Budapest. One week later, it launched a 60,000-soldier operation to crush Hungary’s revolution.The confrontation extended beyond Europe. From 1950 to 1953, the United States and its allies fought in the Korean War against North Korea, which had Soviet and Chinese backing. By then, both superpowers had nuclear weapons and understood…
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All world leaders ›Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
293.4median
250340
Median 293.4Middle half 280.8 – 308.3
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.1median
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Median 189.1Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
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Median 197.2Middle half 189.8 – 202.7
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
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Median 185.8Middle half 176.0 – 197.5
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 27, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%▼ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202719%▼ 2
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202848%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202856%
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.