What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closed Thu 12:56 PM ET · $1.2K today · $8.6K traded · $6.5K at stake

Settled Ukraine / Ukrainian, Benefit / Welfare, Energy

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Benefit / Welfare99%▼ 1
  • ✓ Energy99%▼ 1
  • ✓ Tax99%▼ 1
  • ✓ Reform99%▼ 1
  • ✓ Iran / Iranian99%▼ 1
  • ✓ Trump99%▼ 1
  • ✓ Ukraine / Ukrainian94%▼ 6
  • ✓ EU / European Union89%▼ 11
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability6%▲ 6
  • Immigrant / Immigration2%▲ 2
  • NATO1%▲ 1
  • Russia / Russian1%▲ 1
6 more
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▲ 1
  • NHS / Healthcare1%▲ 1
  • Brexit1%▲ 1
  • China / Chinese1%▲ 1
  • King1%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Benefit / Welfare: 60% on Oct 19, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 20, 12 PM ETBenefit / Welfare: 60% → 50%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Benefit / Welfare 99% 1.6K
✓ Energy 99% 752
✓ Tax 99% 1.6K
✓ Reform 99% 1.3K
✓ Iran / Iranian 99% 579
✓ Trump 99% 1.6K
✓ Ukraine / Ukrainian 94% 442
✓ EU / European Union 89% 722
✗ Afford / Affordable / Affordability 6% 1.4K
✗ Immigrant / Immigration 2% 652
✗ NATO 1% 676
✗ Russia / Russian 1% 347
✗ AI / Artificial Intelligence 1% 157
✗ NHS / Healthcare 1% 548
✗ Brexit 1% 1.1K
✗ China / Chinese 1% 173
✗ King 1% 365
✗ Event does not qualify 1% 986

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: UK House of Commons, Prime Minister's Questions, Andy Burnham

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.