Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Transgender
98%
▲ 1
97¢
98¢
$1.02
1.2K
Save America Act
95%
94¢
95¢
$1.05
235
Stock Market
93%
90¢
95¢
$1.05
387
Dividend / Stimulus
92%
▲ 1
91¢
93¢
$1.08
102
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
90%
▲ 1
88¢
91¢
$1.10
117
Hottest
88%
▲ 8
77¢
88¢
$1.14
814
Supreme Court
81%
77¢
85¢
$1.18
37.00
Barack Hussein Obama
79%
▼ 1
63¢
80¢
$1.25
27.00
Sleepy Joe
77%
72¢
81¢
$1.23
101
Keisha Lance Bottoms
72%
▲ 11
69¢
75¢
$1.33
674
Russia / Ukraine
72%
▼ 4
68¢
76¢
$1.32
21.00
Made in America / American Made
71%
▲ 20
57¢
71¢
$1.41
23.00
Rigged Election
66%
▲ 13
57¢
68¢
$1.47
237
Iran (5+ times)
64%
▼ 4
63¢
64¢
$1.56
9.00
Marjorie
61%
▼ 3
56¢
66¢
$1.52
100
Nuclear (3+ times)
60%
▼ 11
59¢
70¢
$1.43
30.00
Kamala
59%
▼ 1
61¢
76¢
$1.32
111
Israel / Israeli
58%
▲ 16
39¢
57¢
$1.75
18.00
Gulf of America
51%
▼ 5
46¢
56¢
$1.79
215
Hyundai
47%
▼ 9
47¢
58¢
$1.72
37.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
45%
▼ 5
42¢
48¢
$2.08
203
Hormuz
43%
28¢
44¢
$2.27
7.00
America First
43%
▲ 18
28¢
41¢
$2.44
44.00
Fentanyl
29%
▲ 15
17¢
28¢
$3.57
93.00
Deport / Deported / Deportation
24%
▲ 9
19¢
28¢
$3.57
120
Blockade
23%
▼ 12
19¢
39¢
$2.56
372
Drill Baby Drill
18%
▲ 1
17¢
18¢
$5.56
10.00
Fraud (3+ times)
12%
▼ 1
9¢
15¢
$6.67
6.00
Ceasefire
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
177
Peace in the Middle East
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
175
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
1.3K
Event does not qualify
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
169
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 8 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.