Blue wave in 2026?
85%chance▲ 1
Install
Blue tsunami in 2026?
The odds
54%chance▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Yes: 51% on Oct 20, 54% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ET52% → 59%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | ▼ 4 | 53¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 865.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Blue
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Blue Planet III: Moment Octopus escapes deathFilmmakers have captured an octopus's lucky escape after venturing from her normal underwater habitat. The sequence is part of the latest Blue Planet series from Sir David Attenborough, who has continued to produce nature documentaries… -
Could Latino voter anger turn Texas blue? | CNN PoliticsPresident Trump made gains with Latino voters. But anger over immigration enforcement and high costs is fueling a desire for change. Could that shift flip Texas blue in the midterms? John King speaks with voters on the ground to find out… -
Duke vs. Virginia: 5 keys to the Blue Devils, Cavaliers matchupDuke will look to rebound this week after back-to-back losses have completely reset expectations for the season. Here are the keys to Friday night's ACC Championship rematch at Virginia. After the roller coaster of chaos that the last two… -
Blue Planet III: Moment octopus escapes death after hunt gone wrongFilmmakers have captured an octopus's lucky escape after venturing from her normal underwater habitat. The sequence is part of the latest Blue Planet series from Sir David Attenborough, who has continued to produce nature documentaries… -
In reliably blue Minnesota, could Democrats do the unthinkable and lose a Senate seat?Frustration with a sprawling fraud scandal has cut Peggy Flanagan’s poll lead – could ex-NFL reporter Michele Tafoya win a first statewide election for Republicans in 20 years? As Democrats fight to regain control of the US Senate, hopes… -
Trump vows at Long Island rally to win deep-blue New YorkUpdated on: September 19, 2024 / 9:24 AM EDT / CBS New York UNIONDALE, N.Y. — Former President Donald Trump held a campaign rally Wednesday at Nassau Coliseum on Long Island, where he told his supporters, "we are going to win New York."… -
Blue Jackets' Emil Andrae: Gathers assistCBS Sports Andrae logged an assist in Tuesday's 6-2 loss to the Maple Leafs. Andrae has played in five of the Blue Jackets' eight games so far. He is primarily competing with Carson Soucy for the last spot in the lineup. Andrae has two… -
MORNING GLORY: Trump must go to war on the airwaves to stop Democrats’ blue-wave blitzFormer House Speaker Newt Gingrich analyzes the Republican momentum in key states and the challenges facing the Democratic Party and promotes his new book on 'Jesse Watters Primetime.' Should President Donald Trump deliver a prime-time… -
John Anderson Dead: Country Singer Of Hits 'Wild And Blue' & 'Swingin'' Was 71John Anderson, one of the “New Traditionalist” country singers of the 1970s who broke into the mainstream with chart-topping hits like “Wild and Blue”, “Swingin'” and “Black Sheep”, died Wednesday, October 21, at his home in Smithville… -
Duke football vs Virginia predictions, picks, odds: Will Blue Devils bounce back?Duke football looks to get back in the win column against Virginia in a rematch of the ACC Championship. The Blue Devils (4-2, 1-2 ACC) will face the Cavaliers (4-3, 2-2) at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville on Friday, Oct. 23. Kickoff is… -
Former Toronto Blue Jays Outfielder Charged in Fraud CaseA former Toronto Blue Jays outfielder has been charged with three counts of fraud related to money taken in from supposed services related to the Ontario Devils Rays youth baseball program. TSN was among the outlets to file the report… -
Three burning questions as Virginia prepares to host the Blue DevilsSince opening the season with convincing home wins over NC State and Norfolk State, Virginia has alternated wins and losses. That's about the only consistent thing about the Cavaliers in 2026. On Friday night, defending ACC champion Duke…
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3%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.