Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
The odds
21%Before Jan 20, 2029
- Before Jan 1, 20276%
- Before Jan 1, 202814%
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.3K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 14% | 12¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 87.00 | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 21% | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 191.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Section IV, Trump's Presidency, Amendment
Search ›-
Sheboygan letters weigh election and Trump's presidencyHere are this week's letters to the editor of the Sheboygan Press. See our letters policy below for details about how to share your views. Oct. 21 was the deadline to submit a letter to the editor regarding the Nov. 3 election. I'm afraid… -
Section IV Girls Soccer Tournament Scoreboard: October 20, 2026Section IV Class C Opening Round #2 Greene: 7 - #15 Unadilla Valley: 1 #3 Southern Cayuga: 3 - #14 Moravia: 0 #4 Elmira Notre Dame: 5 - #13 Oxford: 2 #5 Unatego/Franklin: 3 - #12 Groton: 2 #6 Marathon: 3 - #11 Tioga: 0 #7 Odessa-Montour: 3… -
Greene girls soccer dominates Unadilla Valley / G.M.U. in opening round of Section IV Class C tournamentThe Trojans had four different goal scorers in a explosive 7-1 win in the opening round of the Section IV Class C tournament. Greene's Haley Butler, Caitlin Walls, and Chloe Waltz each finished with two goals a piece to lead the Trojans… -
Section IV Field Hockey tournament brackets released for 2026 tournament#3 Owego at #2 Windsor - 6:00 p.m. The defending state champion Black Knights enter as the 2-seed after falling to Maine-Endwell in a 2-1 final back on September 17 and they will face Owego in the semifinal who are searching for their… -
Trump praises Elon Musk as a 'genius' while defending him against potential Democratic probesPresident Donald Trump told FOX Business that Americans have an "obligation to protect our geniuses," defending Elon Musk as a "brilliant guy" when asked whether Democrats could target the billionaire if they win control of Congress… -
Second Amendment fight moves beyond guns with Supreme Court poised for big rulingNational Association for Gun Rights President Dudley Brown says the AR-15 ban before the Supreme Court could shape challenges to restrictions on automatic knives, body armor, magazines and other defensive equipment. Two federal court… -
Obama hits campaign trail to stump for Democrats as midterm election nearsFormer President Barack Obama attacked the Trump administration over the Iran war and high consumer prices as he hit the campaign trail for Democrats ahead the nationwide midterm elections. On Saturday, the Democrat held a campaign rally… -
DeSantis sprints toward Amendment 3 finishKimberly Leonard's must-read briefing on what's hot, crazy or shady about politics in the Sunshine State By KIMBERLY LEONARD and GARY FINEOUT 10/22/2026 07:00 AM EDT Gov. Ron DeSantis is urging voters to support a ballot initiative that… -
Women are not the scapegoats of the Trump presidency“Women were always going to be the first sacrificial lambs in the Trump 2.0 administration.” So reads the opening salvo of an April essay headlined “Trump’s Disposable Women”, written by a senior writer for The Cut whose beat is apparently… -
Fort Lauderdale, Wilton Manors mayors warn Amendment 3 could force service cuts, higher rentsCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Fort Lauderdale, Wilton… -
Fort Lauderdale, Wilton Manors mayors project millions in lost revenue if Amendment 3 passesOctober 22, 2026 / 7:30 PM EDT / CBS Miami Two Broward County mayors are speaking out against Amendment 3, warning that the proposed property tax policy could force multi-million-dollar budget cuts to local services and public safety. Fort… -
Trump, MAGA have created ‘the perfect storm’Free AccessThe Trump presidency is an outlier in America’s presidential history. He is the only president to be impeached twice in his first term. His immigration policies are unconstitutional (no due process) and overkill. He forced his party to…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
24%December 31
- October 316%
- December 3124%▼ 9
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.