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How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 16.67% on Oct 19, 16.63% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5% | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 18.00 | |
| Above 10% | 86% | 82¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 642 | |
| Above 15% | 63% | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 279 | |
| Above 17% | 47% | 43¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| Above 20% | 33% | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 511 | |
| Above 25% | 21% | 17¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 50.00 | |
| Above 30% | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ACA Marketplace
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Peak Health expands coverage options for West Virginians with 2027 ACA Marketplace launchThe Sheriff of Upshur County is accepting applications for a full-time tax deputy position with benefits. Applications are available at the Tax Division, 38 W. Main Street, Room 101, in Buckhannon and must be received by 4 p.m. Friday… -
Wesleyan sports recap: Women’s soccer earns the Bobcats’ only win of the week; men battle No. 3 Charleston“Funny Money” runs Oct. 22-24 at Wesleyan, with 7:30 p.m. shows and a 2 p.m. Saturday matinee. Tickets are $10 or $5; high school students and their families attending the Oct. 24 admissions open house get in free. Nearly 40 West Virginia… -
Buckhannon Banter: Get the local lowdown for October 20, 2026“Funny Money” runs Oct. 22-24 at Wesleyan, with 7:30 p.m. shows and a 2 p.m. Saturday matinee. Tickets are $10 or $5; high school students and their families attending the Oct. 24 admissions open house get in free. Nearly 40 West Virginia… -
Man arrested on drug and DUI charges after Buckhannon traffic stop“Funny Money” runs Oct. 22-24 at Wesleyan, with 7:30 p.m. shows and a 2 p.m. Saturday matinee. Tickets are $10 or $5; high school students and their families attending the Oct. 24 admissions open house get in free. Nearly 40 West Virginia… -
Five turnovers sink Wesleyan in 41-21 loss at West Liberty“Funny Money” runs Oct. 22-24 at Wesleyan, with 7:30 p.m. shows and a 2 p.m. Saturday matinee. Tickets are $10 or $5; high school students and their families attending the Oct. 24 admissions open house get in free. Nearly 40 West Virginia… -
The Government Is Mailing $500 Checks to Nearly 1 Million Americans (Are You Getting One?)A new federal payment is arriving, but eligibility is unusually narrow. A surprise $500 check from the federal government is already heading to hundreds of thousands of Americans. The Treasury Department began mailing payments on Sept. 30… -
West Virginia early voting starts October 21 under photo ID lawWomen's health care is available close to home at four central West Virginia clinics through Vandalia Health — the not-for-profit founded by the Davis family more than a century ago, whose Foundation still funds local scholarships and… -
Nearly 40 West Virginia waters to get two fall trout stockingsThe Sheriff of Upshur County is accepting applications for a full-time tax deputy position with benefits. Applications are available at the Tax Division, 38 W. Main Street, Room 101, in Buckhannon and must be received by 4 p.m. Friday… -
Upshur nonprofits and churches have until Dec. 7 to apply for SBA damage loansSam's Pizza, a family-owned fixture in Upshur County since 1991, is adding delivery drivers to its team of more than two dozen at its Buckhannon location. Applicants are asked to apply in person at 9 Southfork Plaza Drive. Read more →… -
Ohio's ACA enrollment starts next month. Here's what to expectEnrollment for the Healthcare Marketplace starts Nov. 1, but Ohioans may be in for another round of sticker shock. Premiums are expected to increase again this year on the Affordable Care Act marketplace, following significant price hikes… -
For second year in a row, ACA health insurance will cost far moreRising health care costs drive up Obamacare premiums as enrollment declines Benjamin J. Hulac, Washington Correspondent | October 19, 2026 | Health Care WASHINGTON — Health insurance premiums for New Jerseyans who receive coverage through… -
After booting 760K people from ACA Plans, Trump administration has added some backLate last month, the Trump administration announced that it had cut 760,000 people from the Affordable Care Act rolls, claiming fraud and improper enrollments and touting billions in potential taxpayer savings. Not all of those kicked off…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.