Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year? (Before 2027)
12%chance▼ 3
Install
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?
The odds
38%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 39% on Oct 20, 38% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38% | ▼ 1 | 36¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 10.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FDA, Type
Search ›-
New type of sunscreen hit shelves months after FDA approvalPeople who spend hours in the sun have a new line of defense against the harmful rays: the first new type of sunscreen in a quarter century. The newest type of sunscreen approved in the U.S. is finally hitting store shelves. It protects… -
SkinStylus® Receives New FDA Clearance for the Improvement of Periorbital Wrinkles for All Skin TypesSkinStylus SteriLock MicroSystem Now the Only Microneedling Device with Indications for Facial Acne Scars, Periorbital Wrinkles, and Abdominal Scars LONG BEACH, Calif., July 07, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SkinHealth Systems Inc. (NASDAQ… -
FDA Extends Once-Weekly Insulin to Youth With Type 2 DiabetesPresented by: AJMC, Pharmacy Times & CancerNetwork Insulin icodec-abae becomes the first once-weekly basal insulin cleared for children 10 years and older with type 2 diabetes. Once-weekly insulin icodec-abae (Awiqli; Novo Nordisk) is now… -
FDA approves Awiqli, a once-weekly basal insulin, for children with type 2 diabetesThe FDA has approved once-weekly insulin icodec-abae 700 U/mL for children aged 10 years and older with type 2 diabetes, Novo Nordisk announced. As Healio previously reported, insulin icodec-abae (Awiqli, Novo) was approved by the FDA in… -
What’s Your Ideal Mattress Type?No two mattresses are the same, and what’s happening beneath the sheets has a lot to do with why. Memory foam contours to your body, latex has a springier feel, and hybrid mattresses combine foam or latex layers with a supportive coil… -
The FDA says there’s no estrogen patch shortage. Women are struggling to fill prescriptions.Estrogen patches are the most commonly reported shortage in the U.S., but the FDA says it’s working to boost supply. Women across the country are still struggling to fill prescriptions for estrogen patches. -
Type Coercion & Type CastingType Coercion in javascript is a process where a type is converted to another type explictly or implicitly. When it happens explictly, it is known as type casting and in case of implicit conversion, it is known as type coercion. There are… -
FDA issues recall over compounded GLP-1 weight loss drugsFox News contributor Dr. Stephanie Widmer discusses the recall of certain compounded GLP-1 medications over sterility concerns. FDA issues recall over compounded GLP-1 weight loss drugs Fox News contributor Dr. Stephanie Widmer discusses… -
MDMA-assisted therapy could get FDA approval as soon as January, top advocate predicts — but there’s a major problem loomingA drug once synonymous with rave culture could soon be making its way into a very different setting: the therapist’s office. A leading psychedelics advocate is “very optimistic” the Food and Drug Administration could approve MDMA-assisted… -
Novo's Awiqli® receives FDA approval as the first and only once-weekly insulin for children 10 years of age and older with type 2 diabetesOct 23, 2026, 14:21 ET This approval is supported by evidence from adequate and well-controlled studies in adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus and a single-dose pharmacokinetic study completed in pediatric patients that evaluated the… -
Caffeine and Blood Type—Does Coffee Affect You Differently Based on Your Blood Type?"Type A should avoid coffee," "Type O is resistant to caffeine"—have you ever heard things like this? As part of blood type diets, people are sometimes given advice on how to consume caffeine based on their blood type. However, what really… -
Types of Bone Fractures MatchingWhen students learn the skeletal system, they often spend a lot of time identifying bones and memorizing anatomical landmarks. Adding a lesson on bone fractures gives students an opportunity to apply what they know about bones to injuries…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions