Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $7 today · $138K traded · $21K at stake · prices read 13 min ago

The odds

5%Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay5%
Pam Alexis4%
Lakhwinder Jhaj2%

How the odds have moved

Kerry-Lynne Findlay: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Kerry-Lynne Findlay	5%	3¢	7¢	$13.89	$61K
Pam Alexis	4%	3¢	5¢	$20.00	$73K
Lakhwinder Jhaj	2%	0¢	3¢	$33.33	$4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Abbotsford-Mission By-Election, Kerry-Lynne Findlay, Pam Alexis

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Conservative Darryl Kropp wins Abbotsford-Mission ridingAbbotsford News · 41 h agoPublished 10:12 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 Darryl Kropp of the Conservative Party of BC will be Abbotsford-Mission’s next MLA. With all 80 polls reporting, Kropp has defeated Pam Alexis of the BC NDP, Lakhwinder Jhaj of Centre BC…
Conservative Landslide in British Columbia Sends Warning to Mark CarneyNewsweek · 29 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT British Columbia has elected a Conservative government for the first time in 98 years in a landslide victory that could be a warning for Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney. The left-leaning New Democratic…
B.C. Election Results: Rematch of close races on the ballot in Langley and Fraser ValleyVancouver Sun · 43 h agoIt's election day across B.C. and voters in Langley and the Fraser Valley are headed to the polls Follow our B.C. election live-blog throughout the night for the latest election news from around B.C., and we’ll update the story below with…
B.C. election latest: Conservatives win majority in election, Eby resigns as leaderThe Hamilton Spectator · 39 h agoVANCOUVER - The British Columbia Conservative Party has won a majority government after NDP Leader David Eby’s decision to call a snap election two years early backfired in spectacular fashion. Here are the latest developments. All times…
CP NewsAlert: B.C. Conservative leader Doerkson retains riding of Cariboo-ChilcotinThe Chronicle-Journal · 43 h agoThe Canadian Press decision desk is projecting that interim British Columbia Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson has been re-elected in the riding of Cariboo-Chilcotin. The Interior riding is considered safe territory for the Conservatives…
B.C. Conservative leader Doerkson retains riding of Cariboo-ChilcotinNarcity · 43 h agoThe Canadian Press decision desk is projecting that interim British Columbia Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson has been re-elected in the riding of Cariboo-Chilcotin. The Interior riding is considered safe territory for the Conservatives…
Conservatives win B.C. election, with Lorne Doerkson to be premierThe Chronicle-Journal · 42 h agoVANCOUVER - The Canadian Press decision desk is projecting the Conservative Party of British Columbia will form government in the province. Lorne Doerkson is set to become premier just five weeks after assuming the interim leadership of a…
Eby quits as NDP leader after Conservatives win B.C. electionRichmond News · 41 h agoVANCOUVER — David Eby says he has offered his resignation as the leader of British Columbia's NDP after his decision to call a snap provincial election backfired and the B.C. Conservatives led by Lorne Doerkson won a majority government…
Polls now open for B.C. electionChilliwack Progress · 2 days agoPublished 10:12 am Saturday, October 24, 2026 Today, Oct. 24, is the final day to vote in the provincial election. British Columbians are heading to the polls to vote for MLAs in 93 ridings across the province. Polls opened at 8 a.m. and…
Polls now closed in B.C. election, counting underwaySummerland Review · 43 h agoPublished 8:16 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 Polls have closed across B.C., and counting has started except in Grassy Plains, on the Southside of Francois Lake in the Nechako Lakes riding of Northwest B.C., where the polling station will…
Final voting for B.C. election is todayNanaimo News Bulletin · 2 days agoPublished 4:00 am Saturday, October 24, 2026 Today, Oct. 24, is the final voting day for the provincial election. Polls open at 8 a.m. and will close at 8 p.m., local time. British Columbians will be heading to the polls to vote for MLAs…
Doerkson set to become B.C. premier after projected Conservative majority winNanaimo News Bulletin · 41 h agoPublished 10:58 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 Lorne Doerkson is poised to become British Columbia’s next premier after leading the Conservative Party to a projected majority government Saturday, Oct. 24, barely five weeks after taking over…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onelections.bc.ca

Trading closesMar 31, 2027 7:59 PM ET

Traded$138K

Today$7

This week$1.8K

At stake$21K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions