María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?
The odds
13%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20263%
- June 30, 202713%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
December 31, 2026: 3% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $89.6K | |
| June 30, 2027 | 13% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $3.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ilhan Omar
Search ›-
Trump demands Ilhan Omar resign amid federal probeChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on President Donald Trump's calls for Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign. The Democrat faces scrutiny over immigration and finances. Trump demands Ilhan Omar resign amid federal probe… -
Trump demands Ilhan Omar immediately resign from CongressThe 'Ruthless Podcast' co-hosts discuss the latest on the Ilhan Omar controversy as she faces two federal investigations. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-hosts also weigh in on a report comparing the president to Hitler over the probes. Trump… -
Trump presses Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign over fake name claimsTodd Piro and former acting ICE director Jonathan Fahey discuss President Donald Trump's calls for Rep. Ilhan Omar's resignation and a New York Times editorial criticizing the administration's proposed citizenship policies. Trump presses… -
Rep Ilhan Omar set to join Hasan Piker's podcast as federal probe continuesFox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett joins 'Fox & Friends' to discuss the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn. and analyze the potential legal trouble she faces, including her immigration status. Rep Ilhan Omar set to join… -
Ilhan Omar reportedly assembles high-powered legal team amid federal investigationsArticle III Project founder Mike Davis discusses reports that Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., has assembled a high-powered legal team amid federal investigations and President Donald Trump’s calls for the congresswoman to resign. Ilhan Omar… -
Trump calls on Ilhan Omar to resign from Congress over fake name claimsAttorney Dan Schneider discusses President Donald Trump's calls for Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign over allegations surrounding her legal name. He explains the potential legal consequences, including deportation. Trump calls on Ilhan Omar to… -
Trump blasts Ilhan Omar as ‘little troublemaker’ at Michigan rallyPresident Trump criticized Omar’s opposition to his administration and repeated allegations that she used a fake name. Trump blasts Ilhan Omar as ‘little troublemaker’ at Michigan rally President Trump criticized Omar’s opposition to his… -
Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre interview answer on marriage controversy'Fox News Sunday' host Shannon Bream and the 'Ruthless Podcast' panel weigh in on Ilhan Omar's comments about her marriage controversy and midterm elections, specifically the Michigan senate race. Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre… -
Ilhan Omar Deleted Father’s Day Message Comes Under ScrutinyOct 26, 2026 at 10:16 AM EDT Conservative commentators have questioned why a social media post in which U.S. Congresswoman Ilhan Omar appeared to refer to her father as "Nur Said" is no longer on her timeline, amid a renewed federal… -
Trump Claims Ilhan Omar’s Seat ‘Conceded’ By DemocratsOct 25, 2026 at 01:04 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump declared Representative Ilhan Omar’s seat “conceded” by Democrats over federal court filings referring to her as Ilhan Nur Said Elmi, a name Omar has denied is hers. Prosecutors… -
3 clues Ilhan Omar had sham marriage to brotherRepresentative Ilhan Omar has continued to deny allegations she fraudulently married her alleged brother Ahmed Elmi (el-mee) – but when asked if they were related this week, she cautiously replied: “not to my knowledge.” The Minnesota… -
Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probeFox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's path to U.S. citizenship and campaign finances. Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probe Fox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the…
Related markets
All politics ›Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
4%chance▲ 2
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
27%chance▲ 5
Blue wave in 2026?
83%chance▲ 1
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance▼ 1
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 20, 2027even chance by
- October 314%
- November 3032%▼ 2
- December 3161%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions