New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28 · $1.3K today · $154K traded · $46.8K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

56%Su Chiao-hui
  • Su Chiao-hui56%▲ 3
  • Lee Shu-chuan44%▼ 2
  • Huang Kuo-chang<1%

How the odds have moved

Su Chiao-hui: 63% on Oct 20, 56% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 20, 11 PM ETSu Chiao-hui: 63% → 55%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Su Chiao-hui 56% ▲ 3 55¢ 58¢ $1.72 $85K
Lee Shu-chuan 44% ▼ 2 43¢ 45¢ $2.22 $67.4K
Huang Kuo-chang <1% 0¢ $1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Taipei Mayor, Su Chiao-hui, Lee Shu-chuan

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  • Su, candidate for New Taipei mayor, proposes developing tourism — Taipei TimesUA.NEWS · 6 days agoUA.NEWS Su, candidate for New Taipei mayor, proposes developing tourism — Taipei Times In New Taipei City, Taiwan, Democratic Progressive Party candidate Su Chiao-hui proposed stepping up tourism development in the Jinshan and Wanli…
  • 2026 Elections: Shen launches ‘policy island’ as Chiang rallies allies台北時報 · 2 days agoDemocratic Progressive Party (DPP) Legislator and Taipei mayoral candidate Puma Shen (沈伯洋) has issued his policy platform and campaign materials, as Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an (蔣萬安) of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), who is seeking…
  • 2026 Elections: Su touts tourism; Lee pledges renewal in New Taipei台北時報 · 6 days agoThe Democratic Progressive Party’s New Taipei City mayoral candidate, Su Chiao-hui (蘇巧慧), yesterday proposed boosting tourism in the city’s Jinshan (金山) and Wanli (萬里) districts, while her Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) opponent, Lee…
  • DPP takes New Taipei City lead台北時報 · 13 days agoLegislator Su Chiao-hui (蘇巧慧), the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) candidate for New Taipei City mayor, has a 13.1 percentage point lead over her Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) rival Lee Shu-chuan (李四川), a poll released yesterday…
  • Social media data show DPP faces headwinds台北時報 · 13 days agoSocial media analytics show that Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidates in next month’s local elections, including Legislator Puma Shen (沈柏文), continue to face headwinds, despite strong online engagement, the party said yesterday…
  • Why Would Chiang Wan-an Propose Replacing Songshan Airport with an “AI Park”? | New Bloom MagazineNew Bloom Magazine · 14 days agoWhy Would Chiang Wan-an Propose Replacing Songshan Airport with an “AI Park”? New Bloom Magazine Why Would Chiang Wan-an Propose Replacing Songshan Airport with an “AI Park”? IN AN UNUSUAL proposal, Taipei mayor Chiang Wan-an has proposed…
  • 2026 Elections: Twelve mayoral candidates sign on to sustainability pledges台北時報 · 14 days agoTwelve mayoral candidates have signed pledges to promote sustainable and resilient policies if elected, civic groups said yesterday. Civic groups, including the Taipei-based Green Citizens’ Action Alliance (GCAA) and the Taiwan Climate…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions