Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Sat 12:00 PM ET · $75.5K traded · $4.7K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

92%OpenAI
  • OpenAI92%▲ 1
  • Anthropic4%
  • Google3%
  • Meta2%
  • Moonshot1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
6 more
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

How the odds have moved

OpenAI: 79% on Oct 20, 92% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
OpenAI 92% ▲ 1 92¢ 93¢ $1.08 $27.1K
Anthropic 4% 2¢ 7¢ $15.15 $16.4K
Google 3% 1¢ 4¢ $22.73 $5.6K
Meta 2% 1¢ 3¢ $32.26 $3K
Moonshot 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $9.9K
SpaceXAI <1% 0¢ 1¢ $2.2K
Z.ai <1% 0¢ 1¢ $2K
DeepSeek <1% 0¢ $1.6K
Nvidia <1% 0¢ $826
Alibaba <1% 0¢ $976
Xiaomi <1% 0¢ $478
MiniMax <1% 0¢ $987
ByteDance <1% 0¢ $825
Baidu <1% 0¢ $839
Amazon <1% 0¢ $933
Mistral <1% 0¢ $578
Meituan <1% 0¢ $949
Microsoft <1% 0¢ $400

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Second-best AI Agent Lab

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Tech › AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

64%OpenAI
  • OpenAI64%▼ 3
  • Anthropic19%▲ 1
  • Google5%
16 more
  • Meta4%▲ 2
  • MiniMax4%▲ 4
  • Meituan4%▲ 2
  • Moonshot2%
  • SpaceXAI1%
  • Z.ai1%
  • DeepSeek1%▼ 1
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Tencent<1%
Tech › AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

87%Google
  • Google87%▲ 1
  • Anthropic10%▼ 3
  • OpenAI1%
18 more
  • Meta1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
PolymarketCloses Sat 12:00 PM ET · $61.2K today
Tech › AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

63%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3163%▲ 7
  • October 2715%▼ 2
  • October 296%▼ 4
11 more
  • October 286%▲ 2
  • October 303%
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 311%
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1
  • October 26<1%▼ 4
PolymarketCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $48.9K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions