Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Oct 31 · $356 today · $76.4K traded · $6.8K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

53%Google
  • Google53%▲ 1
  • Anthropic39%▼ 2
  • OpenAI4%
  • Meta2%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • Baidu<1%
8 more
  • Z.ai<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Google 53% ▲ 1 51¢ 58¢ $1.71 $13K
Anthropic 39% ▼ 2 38¢ 43¢ $2.33 $31.3K
OpenAI 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 $9.9K
Meta 2% 1¢ 3¢ $35.71 $3.6K
Moonshot <1% 1¢ $2.5K
ByteDance <1% 1¢ $1.3K
Mistral <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.4K
Xiaomi <1% 1¢ $1.9K
Nvidia <1% 0¢ $775
Alibaba <1% 0¢ $2.4K
SpaceXAI <1% 0¢ $1.3K
Baidu <1% 0¢ $694
Z.ai <1% 0¢ $1.1K
DeepSeek <1% 0¢ $765
MiniMax <1% 0¢ $653
Meituan <1% 0¢ $799
Amazon <1% 0¢ $783
Tencent <1% 0¢ $1.1K
StepFun <1% 0¢ $662
Microsoft <1% 0¢ $593

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: AI model, artificial intelligence, Text Arena Math AI

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.