Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $282 today · $35.4K traded · $4.4K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

38%Tanoa Sasraku
  • Tanoa Sasraku38%
  • Simeon Barclay35%
  • Kira Freije23%
  • Marguerite Humeau5%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Tanoa Sasraku 38% 37¢ 38¢ $2.63 $10.7K
Simeon Barclay 35% 34¢ 35¢ $2.86 $5.3K
Kira Freije 23% 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 $12.5K
Marguerite Humeau 5% ▲ 2 4¢ 7¢ $14.71 $6.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Turner Prize, Tanoa Sasraku, Simeon Barclay

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Related markets

All awards ›
Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

46%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey46%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball18%
  • You Can See Everything16%▼ 7
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine92%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%▲ 1
  • The Debut80%▼ 3
  • Project Hail Mary78%▼ 3
  • You Can See Everything71%▲ 3
  • The Invite58%▼ 1
  • Fjord39%
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Obsession34%
  • I Play Rocky28%▼ 10
  • Elsinore25%▼ 6
  • Digger20%▼ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 2
  • Behemoth!19%▼ 12
  • Michael13%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day8%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 2
  • Fatherland5%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning4%
  • The Drama3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

85%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey85%
  • The Black Ball77%
  • Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 2
10 more
  • You Can See Everything55%▲ 14
  • Dune: Part Three47%▼ 1
  • Project Hail Mary39%▼ 2
  • Fjord31%▼ 3
  • Club Kid28%▲ 7
  • The Debut27%▼ 1
  • Elsinore27%▲ 9
  • The Invite26%▲ 5
  • Ink21%
  • Digger13%▼ 3
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

94%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey94%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball71%
  • Dune: Part Three65%▼ 4
10 more
  • Disclosure Day65%▼ 4
  • Project Hail Mary59%▼ 1
  • Behemoth!33%▼ 14
  • You Can See Everything28%
  • Wild Horse Nine26%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth11%▲ 1
  • Whalefall7%▲ 3
  • The Social Reckoning6%
  • The Drama5%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

93%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon93%
  • John Malkovich88%
  • Andrew Scott86%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise56%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▲ 2
  • John Turturro44%▲ 2
  • Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito36%▼ 1
  • Pedro Pascal19%▲ 1
  • Sebastian Stan17%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Timothée Chalamet10%▼ 13
  • Josh O'Connor6%▲ 1
  • Adam Driver5%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell5%
  • Brad Pitt5%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Robert Aramayo4%
  • Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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