Export-control chip security: 28% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export-control chip security | 33% | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 16.4K | |
| Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions | 24% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 4.7K |
| AI-chip export licensing | 18% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 13.7K |
| Data center utility cost protection | 18% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 16.7K |
| Protect College Sports Act | 17% | ▼ 5 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 55.5K |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years) | 15% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 156.7K |
| Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act | 15% | ▼ 1 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 31.5K |
| Credit-card routing competition | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 20.9K |
| ADS-B revenue-use restriction | 11% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 1.1K |
| Railway safety bill | 10% | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 8.0K | |
| Insulin cost cap | 9% | ▼ 6 | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 6.3K |
| NO FAKES Act | 9% | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.8K | |
| Critical-minerals stockpile | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.24 | 15.4K | |
| Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 8.9K | |
| Film/TV production expensing | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 16.4K |
| E15 year-round sales | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 30.9K | |
| Surface transportation reauthorization | 8% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 15.3K |
| White House ballroom funding | 7% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 12.9K |
| $2.50 Coin | 7% | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.99 | 23.3K | |
| Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 7.6K |
| Jewish American security | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 6.9K | |
| JAWBONE Act | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.0K |
| Dignity Act | 5% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 18.0K |
| SHOWER Act | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | 22.2K | |
| DEFIANCE Act | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | 18.8K | |
| Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 9.6K | |
| Trump Airport | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 35.4K | |
| ROTOR Act | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | 14.9K | |
| SELF DRIVE Act | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | 27.3K | |
| Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | 24.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.