Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance▲ 1
Install
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed? (Before Jan 1, 2030)
The odds
28%Before Jan 1, 2030
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
- Before Jan 1, 202813%
- Before Jan 1, 202919%▲ 4
- Before Jan 1, 203028%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 21, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 103.3K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 25.00 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 19% | ▲ 4 | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 18.2K |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 28% | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 20.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Onion Futures Act
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US student protesters look to repeal law on onion futures trading'We love the free market, and we love America,' protest leader Adam Ash declared Student protester and 'For Our Futures' founder Adam Ash reveals exactly why the Onion Futures Act of 1958 must be repealed A group of US student protesters… - Former CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham Says Agency Can Regulate Almost All CommoditiesFormer U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Acting Chair Caroline Pham stated that under the Commodity Exchange Act, the agency's jurisdiction covers almost all commodities, with the exception of onions and box office revenues…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions