How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 3, 2027 · $347 today · $18.9K traded · $11.3K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

17.8median
1327
Median 17.8Middle half 15.9 – 19.6

How the odds have moved

Median: 17.8 on Oct 20, 17.8 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 14 90% ▼ 1 89¢ 90¢ $1.11 8.6K
At least 15 84% ▲ 1 82¢ 85¢ $1.18 4.6K
At least 16 75% 74¢ 75¢ $1.33 2.0K
At least 17 61% 58¢ 64¢ $1.56 1.3K
At least 18 48% ▲ 2 46¢ 49¢ $2.04 2.5K
At least 19 35% ▲ 2 33¢ 37¢ $2.70 6.0K
At least 20 20% ▼ 1 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 5.3K
At least 21 15% 13¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.9K
At least 22 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.5K
At least 23 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 8.9K
At least 24 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 360
At least 25 2% 3¢ $33.33 1.2K
At least 26 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 9.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: U.S. Senate, Senate, Midterms

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions