Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Result pending · $7.2K today · $565K traded · $104K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

79%Rafael López Aliaga
  • Rafael López Aliaga79%
  • Francis James Allison Oyague5%▲ 3
  • Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca<1%
  • Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli<1%
  • Santiago Rosendo Abarca León<1%
  • Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo<1%
  • Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera<1%
  • Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino<1%
  • Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra<1%
  • Sandro Caller Gutiérrez<1%
  • Jessica Viviana Linares Romero<1%
  • Rubén José Ramírez Mateo<1%
11 more
  • Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay<1%
  • Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés<1%
  • Flor de María Hurtado Valdez<1%
  • Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar<1%
  • Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza<1%
  • Samuel Marcos Daza Taype<1%
  • Segundo Valdez Zavala<1%
  • Samir Frank Quispe Caballero<1%
  • Yehude Simón Munaro<1%
  • Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué<1%
  • Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega<1%

How the odds have moved

Rafael López Aliaga: 87% on Oct 20, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Rafael López Aliaga 79% 73¢ 84¢ $1.19 $185K
Francis James Allison Oyague 5% ▲ 3 1¢ 8¢ $12.66 $169K
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca <1% 1¢ $96.5K
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli <1% 0¢ $15K
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León <1% 0¢ $2.9K
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo <1% 0¢ $9.9K
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera <1% 0¢ $18K
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino <1% 0¢ $1.7K
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra <1% 0¢ $1.8K
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez <1% 0¢ $2.1K
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero <1% 0¢ $1.9K
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo <1% 0¢ $2.4K
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay <1% 0¢ $2.4K
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés <1% 0¢ $1.7K
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez <1% 0¢ $1.9K
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar <1% 0¢ $2.5K
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza <1% 0¢ $2.2K
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype <1% 0¢ $18.1K
Segundo Valdez Zavala <1% 0¢ $1.8K
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero <1% 0¢ $2.1K
Yehude Simón Munaro <1% 0¢ $10.2K
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué <1% 0¢ $12.3K
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega <1% 0¢ $3.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lima Mayoral, Rafael López Aliaga, Francis James Allison Oyague

Search ›
  • López Aliaga Claims 50,000 Lead in Lima VoteThe Rio Times · 6 days agoRafael López Aliaga, the conservative former mayor of Lima, says his own recount of the vote-tally sheets gives him a lead of about 50,000 votes in the race to run Peru’s capital again, Panamericana television reported on Monday 19 October…
  • Peru Lima Mayor Count Reaches 95.4%The Rio Times · 7 days agoThe Lima mayor count reached 95.4% of tally sheets on Saturday 17 October 2026, with the Renovación Popular list still ahead. Its lead over Avanza País is about one percentage point, and 1,202 disputed sheets remain unresolved. Lima is…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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