Google market share this week (Google market share - Oct 19, 2026)
20.01%median
15.2%22.8%
Median 20.01%Middle half 19.89% – 20.32%
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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
The odds
17%December 31
- October 23<1%▼ 1
- October 312%
- November 308%
- December 3117%
How the odds have moved
October 23: 2% on Oct 20, <1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 5 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2.5K | ||
| June 12 | <1% | 0¢ | $16.5K | |||
| June 19 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $13.7K | ||
| June 26 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $19.7K | ||
| June 30 | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $57.3K | ||
| July 3 | <1% | 0¢ | $3.6K | |||
| July 10 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $18.2K | ||
| July 17 | <1% | ▼ 5 | 0¢ | $18.5K | ||
| July 24 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $18.3K | ||
| July 27 | <1% | 0¢ | $1.4K | |||
| July 28 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2.7K | ||
| July 29 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $3K | ||
| July 30 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $18.8K | ||
| July 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $92.5K | ||
| August 7 | <1% | 0¢ | $149K | |||
| August 14 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $246K | ||
| August 21 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $127K | ||
| August 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $347K | ||
| September 15 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $12.6K | ||
| September 30 | <1% | ▼ 17 | 0¢ | $207K | ||
| October 9 | <1% | ▼ 4 | 1¢ | $71.43 | $21.7K | |
| October 15 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $47.9K | ||
| October 23 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $17.5K | ||
| October 31 | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $181K | |
| November 30 | 8% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $10.2K | |
| December 31 | 17% | 11¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | $8.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Gemini, Google AI, Google Gemini Pro Model
Search ›-
Automate a boring task for $0 with the Google AI Studio free API tierGoogle AI Studio gives you a free Gemini API key with a generous free tier. No credit card. Here is the full path from zero to a working automation. No SDK needed. Plain curl works: gemini-2.5-flash-lite is the fastest model and has the… -
Comic Studio AI: Turning Voice & Text Prompts into 4-Panel Comics with Google AI Studio, Gemini & ImagenEducation Track: Build Apps with Google AI Studio As a Google Developer Expert (GDE) in AI & Cloud, one of the biggest bottlenecks I see when teaching developers and students about multimodal AI architectures is turning abstract technical… - Convertion F45 Server to Thin XFS LVM Provisioning with Libvirt-Hooks based on BTRFS-XFS Setup ( Assisted by Google AI )Converting a server (such as a high-density virtualization platform) to Thin XFS LVM Provisioning with Libvirt-Hooks solves the fundamental performance bottlenecks and management complexities inherent in running virtual machines on top of…
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How to check whether ChatGPT and Google AI Overviews name your local businessAI answers change. Ask an engine the same question twice and it can name different businesses. Engines also guess where you are from your connection when the question has no place in it. So use fixed questions with the place name in each… -
US Blacklists Sam Altman's Old Y Combinator China Pick Over Startup Built On Stolen Google AI SecretsLatest: Can The Gulf Be Rebuilt? Of all the people who could end up on a US sanctions list for bankrolling stolen Google AI technology, a former Microsoft executive hand-picked by Sam Altman to run Y Combinator's China arm was probably not… - Google brings Gemini’s Personal Intelligence to the car, with your inbox along for the rideGoogle's AI assistant can now pull from Gmail, Calendar, Maps, YouTube and other services to tailor its answers while you drive Google / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) Google wants its AI assistant to know where you’re headed before you…
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You can now manage Gemini Notebooks directly from your Gemini chatsRyan started his career in the field of science, bouncing from lab to lab measuring chemicals, writing reports, and so on. After deciding to pursue his interest in covering video games and technology, he traded in his lab coat for a… -
Gemini 4 Flash & Gemini 4 Carbon Spotted: Google’s Next-Gen AI Models LeakedIf you thought Google was slowing down after its initial Gemini 4 rollout, think again. Following recent coverage on Google’s Opus Killer: Gemini 4 Carbon Early Access Sparks AI Race, fresh discoveries in Google’s internal backend code… -
Google Meet Adds Real-Time AI Translation for 63 LanguagesGoogle recently confirmed that it’s finally rolling out Gemini-powered speech translation for Google Meet, which brings real-time support for 63 languages across web, Android, iOS, and Google Meet hardware devices. The update allows… -
Chatbot AI Service Comparison: OpenAI ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini (for CRM Actions)Short answer: Choose OpenAI ChatGPT for dynamic casual dialogue, Claude for explainable complex reasoning, and Gemini when minimal-response latency dominates; keep all three behind one CRM action contract. The boundary is simple: the model… -
Google Optimizes Agent Development Kit's 200K-line Python Codebase Overnight with Gemini 4 ArgonSuhail Patel discusses how Monzo structures its software engineering organization and technical stack to ship safely hundreds of times a day. He shares insights into opinionated microservice abstractions, tenancy-based staging, static… -
Gemini CLI v0.64 fixes the CPU hang on @ inside code and headless folder trustGemini CLI v0.64.0 adds no features. All 17 entries under "What's Changed" are fixes, refactors or release chores. Two of them matter a great deal, though: a hang where piping code containing @ into -p pins the CPU at 100%, and a headless…
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Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
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- October 2718%▲ 8
- October 264%▲ 1
11 more
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- October 201%▼ 12
- October 251%
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- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
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- October 24<1%
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Nov 18, 2026even chance by
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.