Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
- November 30>99%▲ 11
- December 31>99%▲ 7
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Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
The odds
6%October 31
- October 316%
How the odds have moved
October 31: 7% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $89.5K | ||
| May 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $76.9K | ||
| July 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $33.9K | ||
| August 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $34.8K | ||
| October 31 | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | $4.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky
Search ›- Putin’s War on Abortion Meets His War in UkraineOct 27, 2026 at 08:58 AM EDT President Vladimir Putin is desperate for Russian women to have more babies. Though abortion remains legal nationally, Russian authorities have waged war against it, banning "child-free" advocacy, pressuring…
- Russian diesel tankers close in on US ports as Trump, Putin deal triggers legal showdownRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the U.S., Russia's efforts to develop a Starlink-like satellite network with potential support from China and…
- Ukraine war briefing: Kyiv retaking territory, Zelenskyy says, as Nordic leaders urge Putin to end the conflictUkrainian president says Kyiv’s battlefield position strongest in some time. What we know on day 1,708Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said Ukrainian forces are retaking territory through a series of offensives, adding Kyiv’s battlefield…
- Photos show Ukraine's Starlink access disabled during deadly Russian strikeCBS News has obtained images showing Ukraine's Starlink satellite system disabled during a Russian strike that killed five people. Elon Musk has admitted to limiting Ukraine's access to the SpaceX resource. CBS News foreign policy and…
- Ceasefire begins in Russian-occupied Ukrainian town as strikes on Kyiv continueCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Ceasefire in…
- Ukrainian forces have successfully adapted Russian tactics, Zelensky on Operation VelesMilitary leaders from the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the National Guard briefed President Volodymyr Zelensky on the initial results and progress of Operation Veles on the Kupiansk axis. â Ukrinform. Ukrinform - Ukrainian National News…
- Ceasefire negotiated by Melania Trump holds in Russia-occupied Ukrainian cityMarc Beckman, a senior advisor to Melania Trump, joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss first lady Melania Trump's humanitarian efforts in Ukraine. Beckman details how the first lady successfully brokered a ceasefire in Oleshky, allowing…
- Sister of Ukrainian woman who died in recent Russian attack speaks outYulia Spichak was one of five people who died in a Russian drone strike on a park in Ukraine's eastern Kharkiv region last week after Elon Musk limited the country's Starlink network access. Her sister Alina spoke with Aidan Stretch about…
- Brad Paisley’s Ukraine Song ‘Same Here’ Was Attacked Online. He Cites Russian BotsWhen Brad Paisley released “Same Here,” his anthem of solidarity with the people of Ukraine, in 2023, he watched it connect with his listeners across the board. But then, something peculiar happened: The song, which featured a recording of…
- Photos show Ukraine's Starlink was throttled during Russian strike that killed 5 in parkOctober 27, 2026 / 9:54 AM EDT / CBS News Kharkiv, Ukraine – Yulia Spichak, a 34 year-old makeup artist in Ukraine's eastern Kharkiv region, dropped her son off at an English-language lesson on Oct. 19 and sat down in a nearby park to send…
- Local Russia-Ukraine truce brokered by Melania Trump takes effect amid strikesA local Russia-Ukraine ceasefire brokered by Melania Trump has taken effect in the Russian-occupied town of Oleshky, even as overnight strikes continued elsewhere, including Kyiv. Local Russia-Ukraine truce brokered by Melania Trump takes…
- Russia, Ukraine begin Oleshky ceasefire but keep up strikes elsewhereRussia and Ukraine have begun a regional ceasefire to allow the start of a humanitarian effort in the Russian-occupied town of Oleshky, both sides said on Tuesday, but they continue strikes elsewhere, including the Ukrainian capital of…
Related markets
All russia & ukraine ›Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Oct 19, 2026even chance by
- October 17<1%▼ 4
- October 2094%▲ 9
- October 2194%▲ 13
10 more
- October 2294%▲ 7
- October 2394%▲ 14
- October 2494%▲ 16
- October 2594%▲ 14
- October 2694%▲ 8
- October 2794%▲ 8
- October 2894%▼ 20
- October 2994%▼ 4
- October 3094%▲ 1
- October 3194%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Dec 31, 2027even chance by
- January 31, 202724%
- February 28, 202726%▼ 2
- March 31, 202736%▲ 1
12 more
- April 30, 202743%▲ 2
- May 31, 202745%▲ 3
- June 30, 202745%▲ 3
- July 31, 202745%▲ 1
- August 31, 202745%▲ 2
- September 30, 202745%▲ 1
- October 3145%
- October 31, 202745%▲ 1
- November 30, 202745%▲ 1
- November 3045%▲ 3
- December 3145%▲ 1
- December 31, 202771%▲ 1
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
8%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 20278%▼ 2
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
79%China
- China79%▲ 2
- No meeting by December 3117%▼ 2
- Russia1%▲ 1
12 more
- United States1%
- Other1%▼ 1
- Gulf country<1%
- Switzerland<1%
- Turkey<1%
- Belarus<1%
- Finland<1%
- South Korea<1%
- Japan<1%
- Australia<1%
- Other EU country<1%
- Ukraine<1%
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
57%Ursula von der Leyen
- Ursula von der Leyen57%▼ 4
- Mark Rutte47%▼ 5
- Melania Trump32%▼ 5
5 more
- António Guterres14%▲ 1
- Emmanuel Macron11%
- Mark Carney9%
- JD Vance5%
- Donald Trump5%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions