Putin out as President of Russia by...?
10%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20262%▼ 1
- June 30, 202710%▲ 1
Install
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
The odds
Dec 31, 2027even chance by
- January 31, 202723%▲ 4
- February 28, 202727%▲ 2
- March 31, 202732%▲ 1
- April 30, 202739%▲ 2
- May 31, 202742%
- June 30, 202742%▲ 1
- July 31, 202742%▲ 3
- August 31, 202742%▲ 1
- September 30, 202742%▲ 2
- October 3142%▲ 1
- October 31, 202742%▲ 1
- November 30, 202742%▲ 1
3 more
- November 3042%▲ 2
- December 3142%▲ 4
- December 31, 202769%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31, 2027 | 23% | ▲ 4 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | $105K |
| February 28, 2027 | 27% | ▲ 2 | 26¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | $30.2K |
| March 31, 2027 | 32% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | $194K |
| April 30, 2027 | 39% | ▲ 2 | 38¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | $5.7K |
| May 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $817K | |||
| May 31, 2027 | 42% | 45¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | $20K | |
| June 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $1.7M | |||
| June 30, 2027 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | $165K |
| July 31, 2027 | 42% | ▲ 3 | 52¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | $3.9K |
| August 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $586K | |||
| August 31, 2027 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 54¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | $2K |
| September 30, 2027 | 42% | ▲ 2 | 57¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | $2.5K |
| October 31 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $2.2M |
| October 31, 2027 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | $69.4K |
| November 30, 2027 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 63¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | $5.5K |
| November 30 | 42% | ▲ 2 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $62.7K |
| December 31 | 42% | ▲ 4 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $2.9M |
| December 31, 2027 | 69% | 68¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | $49.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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- October 312%▲ 1
- December 3112%▲ 2
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
36%December 31
- March 31, 202736%▲ 5
- June 30, 202736%▲ 2
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Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
41%December 31
- October 3114%▲ 7
- November 3031%▲ 11
- December 3141%▲ 8
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
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- Ursula von der Leyen64%▲ 21
- Mark Rutte34%▼ 8
- Emmanuel Macron13%▼ 1
4 more
- António Guterres12%▼ 1
- Mark Carney8%▼ 1
- JD Vance5%▼ 2
- Donald Trump4%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.