Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $773 today · $9.6K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

56%Pale Sun
  • Pale Sun56%▲ 8
  • Mary is Missing47%▲ 12
  • The Birthday Gift36%▲ 14
  • Spilled Milk32%▲ 2
  • Agapito31%▲ 8
  • The Man That I Wave At26%▼ 1
  • Nightfaces23%▼ 2
  • Meeting Your Maker22%▲ 1
  • Magan's Fare21%▲ 1
  • 32B14%▼ 13

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Pale Sun 56% ▲ 8 51¢ 62¢ $1.61 $20
Mary is Missing 47% ▲ 12 20¢ 74¢ $1.35
The Birthday Gift 36% ▲ 14 23¢ 49¢ $2.04 $2.8K
Spilled Milk 32% ▲ 2 29¢ 34¢ $2.94 $519
Agapito 31% ▲ 8 30¢ 32¢ $3.13 $1.1K
The Man That I Wave At 26% ▼ 1 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 $1K
Nightfaces 23% ▼ 2 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 $200
Meeting Your Maker 22% ▲ 1 21¢ 22¢ $4.55 $401
Magan's Fare 21% ▲ 1 19¢ 22¢ $4.55 $1.1K
32B 14% ▼ 13 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 $2.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Live Action Short Film Nominations

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

45%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey45%
  • The Black Ball18%
  • You Can See Everything15%▼ 8
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%
  • Project Hail Mary78%▼ 3
  • The Debut76%▼ 7
  • You Can See Everything71%▲ 5
  • The Invite59%
  • Fjord39%
  • I Play Rocky39%▲ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Obsession34%
  • Elsinore25%▼ 5
  • Digger20%▲ 1
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 2
  • Behemoth!19%▼ 2
  • Michael13%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day8%
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 1
  • Fatherland5%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning4%▼ 1
  • The Drama3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

85%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey85%
  • The Black Ball77%
  • Wild Horse Nine60%
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three47%▼ 16
  • Project Hail Mary39%▲ 5
  • You Can See Everything36%▼ 4
  • Fjord31%▼ 3
  • The Debut27%▼ 14
  • The Invite26%▲ 5
  • Digger25%▲ 9
  • Club Kid21%
  • Ink21%
  • Elsinore18%▲ 1
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

94%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey94%▲ 1
  • Disclosure Day71%▲ 6
  • The Black Ball71%▲ 1
10 more
  • Dune: Part Three68%▼ 3
  • Project Hail Mary60%▲ 1
  • Behemoth!31%▼ 16
  • Wild Horse Nine27%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything13%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth11%▲ 1
  • Whalefall7%▲ 3
  • The Social Reckoning6%
  • The Drama5%
  • The Mandalorian and Grogu3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

93%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon93%
  • John Malkovich87%▼ 1
  • Andrew Scott86%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise56%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • John Turturro43%▲ 1
  • Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito28%▼ 9
  • Pedro Pascal19%▲ 1
  • Sebastian Stan17%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Timothée Chalamet10%▼ 12
  • Adam Driver6%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell5%
  • Brad Pitt5%
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Robert Aramayo4%
  • Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1

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