Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $399 today · $15.5K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

66%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey66%▲ 2
  • The Black Ball18%▼ 2
  • Dune: Part Three8%▲ 1
  • Werwulf4%▼ 1
  • Wuthering Heights3%▲ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility3%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%▼ 2
  • I Love Boosters1%
  • The Devil Wears Prada 21%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Digger<1%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 77% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETThe Odyssey: 78% → 70%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Odyssey 66% ▲ 2 66¢ 69¢ $1.45 $10.4K
The Black Ball 18% ▼ 2 17¢ 22¢ $4.52 $795
Dune: Part Three 8% ▲ 1 6¢ 11¢ $9.43 $451
Werwulf 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 6¢ $17.54 $256
Wuthering Heights 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 $234
Sense and Sensibility 3% 1¢ 5¢ $19.61 $1.9K
Wild Horse Nine 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 2¢ $47.62 $329
I Love Boosters 1% 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $496
The Devil Wears Prada 2 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $165
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $144
Michael <1% 0¢ 1¢ $163
Digger <1% 0¢ 1¢ $222

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Costume Design

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey49%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything28%
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%▲ 2
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 5
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky56%▼ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden37%▼ 1
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Fjord33%▼ 2
  • Elsinore30%
  • Wildwood28%▲ 2
  • Digger23%▼ 1
  • Club Kid22%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth15%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Ink8%▲ 1
  • Josephine8%▲ 2
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility5%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • Cry to Heaven4%▼ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 3
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Backrooms2%▼ 1
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

89%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball89%▼ 2
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut77%▲ 1
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 568%▼ 12
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 13
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk52%▲ 25
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 245%▲ 22
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad35%▼ 3
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 25
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 6
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell72%▲ 5
23 more
  • John Leguizamo66%▲ 2
  • Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 17
  • Edward Norton44%▼ 14
  • Robert Pattinson30%
  • Steve Buscemi19%▼ 2
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Colman Domingo17%▼ 3
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%▲ 1
  • Jeremy Strong8%▲ 1
  • Guy Pearce7%▲ 2
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Himesh Patel6%▲ 1
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Miles Teller5%
  • Adam Scott5%▲ 1
  • Channing Tatum4%
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 2
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 4
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Tom Holland3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon92%▲ 1
  • John Malkovich86%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 10
  • Anthony Ippolito47%▼ 1
  • John Turturro46%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling44%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson34%▼ 10
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Sebastian Stan16%▼ 3
  • Timothée Chalamet12%▲ 2
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Adam Driver4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo2%
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

89%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway89%▲ 1
  • Samantha Morton77%▲ 1
  • Penélope Cruz77%
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto61%
  • Amanda Seyfried48%▲ 5
  • Kate O'Flynn41%
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▲ 1
  • Sandra Hüller28%▲ 3
  • Parker Posey19%▼ 2
  • Merritt Wever18%
  • Gemma Chan16%▲ 4
  • Olivia Colman14%▼ 19
  • Danielle Deadwyler13%▲ 5
  • Betty Gilpin7%▲ 1
  • Zendaya6%▼ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions