Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Nov 3 · $1K today · $4K traded · $37.9K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

66%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
  • No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate66%
  • No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%▼ 1
  • Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate<1%
  • Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate<1%

How the odds have moved

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 66% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 66% 65¢ 67¢ $1.50 $67.4K
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 34% ▼ 1 33¢ 34¢ $2.92 $84.6K
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate <1% 0¢ $125K
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate <1% 0¢ $123K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iran, Hormuz Agreement, Senate

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PolymarketCloses today 11:59 PM ET · $4.9M today

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