French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Apr 18, 2027 · $296 today · $20.6K traded · $3.9K at stake · prices read 64 min ago

The odds

35%Édouard Philippe
  • Édouard Philippe35%▲ 3
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon33%▲ 4
  • Marine Le Pen11%▼ 2
  • Raphaël Glucksmann9%▼ 3
  • David Lisnard8%▲ 1
  • François Hollande1%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Éric Zemmour<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Dominique de Villepin<1%
  • Christine Lagarde<1%
4 more
  • Jordan Bardella<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Sarah Knafo<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Édouard Philippe 35% ▲ 3 35¢ 38¢ $2.63 $1.9K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 33% ▲ 4 33¢ 35¢ $2.86 $1.9K
Marine Le Pen 11% ▼ 2 10¢ 13¢ $7.69 $3.9K
Raphaël Glucksmann 9% ▼ 3 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 $3.2K
David Lisnard 8% ▲ 1 8¢ 9¢ $10.87 $1.5K
François Hollande 1% 0¢ 3¢ $35.71 $935
Bruno Retailleau 1% 0¢ 3¢ $35.71 $1K
Gabriel Attal 1% 0¢ 2¢ $41.67 $827
Éric Zemmour <1% 1¢ $100.00 $550
Sébastien Lecornu <1% 0¢ 1¢ $894
Dominique de Villepin <1% 1¢ $685
Christine Lagarde <1% 0¢ 0¢ $796
Jordan Bardella <1% 0¢ 0¢ $756
Marine Tondelier <1% 0¢ 0¢ $661
Sarah Knafo <1% 0¢ $424
François Ruffin <1% 0¢ $614

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: French Presidential, Édouard Philippe, Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All around the world ›
Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

46%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
  • Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
  • David Lisnard12%
42 more
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
  • Raphaël Glucksmann5%
  • François Hollande2%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Sarah Knafo1%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Christine Lagarde1%
  • Jordan Bardella1%
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.