Predictions › Elections › Around the world Morena 67% ▼ 12 PRI 18% ▲ 2 PVEM 6% ▲ 2 PT 4% PAN 4% MC 2%
Morena: 60% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Student List – Students Win >99% ▲ 73 Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia <1% ▼ 74 Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! <1% 7 more Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) <1% Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor <1% Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification <1% Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić <1% Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović <1% European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš <1% SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak <1% Lula da Silva <4% >99% ▲ 81 Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ <1% ▼ 1 Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% <1% ▼ 5 5 more Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% <1% ▼ 36 Flávio Bolsonaro <4% <1% ▼ 38 Lula da Silva 4-8% <1% ▼ 1 Lula da Silva 8-12% <1% Lula da Silva 12%+ <1% Yashar 73% ▲ 2 Likud 27% ▼ 2 Together <1% 3 more Shas <1% The Democrats <1% Otzma Yehudit <1% Ilija Srdanović 27% ▲ 18 Vladan Đokić <1% Aleksandar Vučić <1% ▼ 68 7 more Ivica Dačić <1% Ana Brnabić <1% Stefan Krkobabić <1% Miloš Vučević <1% Đuro Macut <1% Branimir Jovanović <1% Dragan Đilas <1% Iotova <10% 98% ▲ 77 Gyurov 20-30% 1% Iotova 30-40% <1% ▼ 1 6 more Iotova 40%+ <1% Iotova 10-20% <1% ▼ 58 Gyurov 30%+ <1% ▼ 1 Iotova 20-30% <1% ▼ 17 Gyurov <10% <1% ▼ 1 Gyurov 10-20% <1% Marine Le Pen 43% ▼ 2 Édouard Philippe 16% ▼ 1 David Lisnard 14% 42 more Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10% ▼ 1 Raphaël Glucksmann 5% ▲ 1 François Hollande 3% ▲ 1 Bruno Retailleau 2% Éric Zemmour 1% Sarah Knafo 1% Gabriel Attal 1% Dominique de Villepin 1% Jordan Bardella 1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% Christine Lagarde <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Natacha Polony <1% François Ruffin <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Jean Castex <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% François Baroin <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Trading closes Jun 6, 2027 11:59 PM ET
Traded $7.9K
Today $267
This week $1.8K
At stake $1.5K
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Sinaloa are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Sinaloa as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions
