Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 3
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
The odds
67%Lula
- Lula67%▼ 3
- Flavio Bolsonaro33%▲ 4
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lula | 67% | ▼ 3 | 67¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | $59.4K |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 33% | ▲ 4 | 33¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | $44.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Brazil Presidential Election Second, Place Abroad, Flavio Bolsonaro
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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46%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
- David Lisnard12%
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann5%
- François Hollande2%
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- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
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- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
46%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%46%▲ 8
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%24%▼ 6
- Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 1
5 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%7%▼ 1
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%▼ 1
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
71%Yashar
- Yashar71%▲ 5
- Likud28%▼ 4
- Together<1%▼ 1
3 more
- Shas<1%
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
21.4median
1639
Median 21.4Middle half 18.6 – 25.8
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
59%Chiang Wan-an
- Chiang Wan-an59%▼ 3
- Puma Shen41%▲ 3
- Kuo Hsi<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.