Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
<1%chance▼ 1
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
The odds
17%chance▼ 5
How the odds have moved
Yes: 16% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17% | ▼ 5 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $29.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth
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Sen. Adam Schiff says Pete Hegseth should testify on Starlink slowdown in UkraineSen. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., said in an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth should testify before the Senate on the Starlink satellite limitations that disrupted Ukrainian military operations, if… -
Barack Obama Slams Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth Over Iran WarOct 24, 2026 at 04:01 PM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 04:08 PM EDT Former President Barack Obama criticized President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Saturday over the war with Iran, calling the administration “not serious… -
Pete Hegseth Is Trying To Flee The Trump Administration Before He Can Be ImpeachedEight days before the midterm election, two things have become certain. Democrats are going to take back the House, and after they do, Democrats are going to impeach Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth. There is a list of Trump cabinet… -
Pete Hegseth’s Exit OptionDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth “has been angling for Sen. Marsha Blackburn to appoint him to her Senate seat, if she becomes Tennessee governor, sparing him a potential impeachment trial,” Puck reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth “has… -
Pete Hegseth Reportedly Angling For Blackburn's Senate Seat To Avoid ImpeachmentThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The defense secretary might try an intriguing escape route, according to Puck. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is… -
Rep. Crow: ‘My Priority Number One’ Is Ousting Pete HegsethOn Sunday’s broadcast of CBS’s “Face the Nation,” Rep. Jason Crow (D-CO) said “priority number one if we retake the majority, to make sure we oust” Secretary of War Pete Hegseth. Partial transcript as follows: MARGARET BRENNAN: I want to… -
Pentagon Responds To Rumors That Pete Hegseth May Seek U.S. Senate AppointmentThe Pentagon addressed rumors that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is eyeing Sen. Marsha Blackburn’s seat if she becomes Tennessee governor. According to Puck, Hegseth may attempt to convince Blackburn to appoint him to the seat. Blackburn… -
Barack Obama 'Declares War' on Pete HegsethBarack Obama is very concerned about Pete Hegseth's testosterone levels. Or at least, he is concerned about Pete Hegseth's concern about testosterone levels. The former president "declared war" on the War Secretary in a sprawling… -
U.S. military boards go rogue to defy Pete Hegseth’s ban on transgender troopsBy Jillian Butler, Daily Caller News Foundation Military boards are disobeying Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s ban on openly transgender-identifying service members in the U.S. Armed Forces. Directly after this executive order, the… - Pete Hegseth eyeing Senate seat as impeachment threat looms: reportDefense Secretary could seek to succeed Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee rather than wait to be forced out of the Pentagon by congressional Democrats or President Donald Trump, it is claimed Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is reportedly…
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The historic significance of the WWII-era globe damaged by Pete Hegseth's staffA WWII-era globe – one that once belonged to President Dwight Eisenhower – was damaged after an attempted relocation to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's office. TY SEIDULE: Hi, Juana. Thanks for having me on. SUMMERS: Thanks for being…
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