Fed Decision in October?
93%No change
- No change93%▲ 2
- 25 bps increase6%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Install
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?
The odds
$502,035median
$499,000$523,000
Median $502,035Middle half $500,517 – $511,408
How the odds have moved
Median: $503,346 on Oct 20, $502,035 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$503K | 66% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | $10.8K |
| $503K - $507K | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.35 | $2.8K | |
| $507K - $511K | 4% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | $1.4K | |
| $511K - $515K | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $10.75 | $2.7K |
| $515K - $519K | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $2.6K |
| $519K - $521K | 8% | ▲ 2 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $9.71 | $4.1K |
| $521K+ | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: DC Metro
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Ask Eli: Three charts highlight our current real estate marketThis regularly scheduled column is written by Eli Tucker, Arlington-based Realtor and Arlington resident. If you would like to work with Eli and his team in Northern Virginia and the greater D.C. Metro area, you can reach him directly at… -
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- MBA - Tuition & Financial Aid - Cost of AttendanceA full-time, 21-month curriculum and a global perspective to develop leaders of purpose. Complete the Darden MBA on a flexible schedule that works for you at our UVA Darden DC Metro location. Earn the Darden MBA while advancing your career…
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DC Metro hours change for Indigenous Peoples' Day | FOX 5 AT 6AMFOX 5 DC Metro rail and bus lines are operating on a Saturday schedule on Monday in observance of Indigenous Peoples' Day and Columbus Day. - Build What Matters at BlueprintWork alongside curious, collaborative teams solving complex challenges across AI, cloud, data, and emerging technology. Bring your perspective. Grow your expertise. Build what matters. Channel Partner Sales Specialist Principal Web…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions