Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $546 today · $16.7K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

41%Google
  • Google41%▼ 1
  • Anthropic30%▼ 4
  • Meta16%▲ 1
  • OpenAI8%▲ 2
  • Mistral8%▲ 2
  • Meituan6%▲ 2
  • Baidu6%▲ 1
  • Xiaomi6%
  • SpaceXAI5%
  • MiniMax5%▲ 1
  • Thinky4%
  • ByteDance4%
9 more
  • Z.ai4%
  • Moonshot3%
  • Alibaba2%
  • Amazon1%
  • Nvidia1%
  • Tencent1%
  • Microsoft1%
  • DeepSeek1%
  • StepFun1%

How the odds have moved

Google: 35% on Oct 20, 41% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Google 41% ▼ 1 39¢ 42¢ $2.38 $3.3K
Anthropic 30% ▼ 4 27¢ 32¢ $3.13 $7.4K
Meta 16% ▲ 1 13¢ 18¢ $5.56 $1.6K
OpenAI 8% ▲ 2 1¢ 15¢ $6.54 $246
Mistral 8% ▲ 2 0¢ 15¢ $6.85 $280
Meituan 6% ▲ 2 0¢ 11¢ $9.09 $237
Baidu 6% ▲ 1 3¢ 9¢ $11.49 $295
Xiaomi 6% 1¢ 11¢ $9.35 $331
SpaceXAI 5% 1¢ 9¢ $10.87 $352
MiniMax 5% ▲ 1 0¢ 10¢ $10.42 $217
Thinky 4% 0¢ 7¢ $13.70 $257
ByteDance 4% 0¢ 7¢ $14.29 $285
Z.ai 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.93 $271
Moonshot 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.24 $225
Alibaba 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 $267
Amazon 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $173
Nvidia 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $167
Tencent 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $264
Microsoft 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $165
DeepSeek 1% 0¢ 1¢ $217
StepFun 1% 0¢ 1¢ $217

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Second-best AI Lab

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Tech › AI

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

39%Anthropic
  • Anthropic39%▼ 3
  • Google39%
  • Meta11%
18 more
  • OpenAI5%▼ 1
  • Moonshot2%
  • SpaceXAI2%▲ 1
  • Alibaba1%
  • Xiaomi1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
Tech › AI

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

85%Anthropic
  • Anthropic85%▼ 2
  • Google9%▲ 1
  • Meta3%
18 more
  • Moonshot1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • OpenAI<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
Tech › AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%Google
  • Google89%▲ 3
  • Anthropic9%▼ 1
  • Meta<1%
18 more
  • OpenAI<1%▼ 1
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions