Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $211 today · $7.2K traded · $909 at stake · prices read 53 min ago

The odds

69%November 30

November 3069%▲ 14
December 3174%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

November 30: 47% on Oct 20, 69% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 23, 10 PM ETNovember 30: 72% → 64%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 21, 6 PM ETNovember 30: 56% → 47%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
November 30	69%	▲ 14	63¢	75¢	$1.33	$5.6K
December 31	74%	▲ 2	73¢	75¢	$1.33	$1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: GPT Sol

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Cheapest GPT Sol Models (Oct 2026): Prices Compared | LiteLLMLiteLLM Model Catalog · 5 days agoCheapest GPT Sol Models: the top 3, sorted by blended price per 1m tokens, from LiteLLM's price file. Cheapest GPT Sol Models As of October 21, 2026, among LiteLLM's active models with a 32K-token context window or more, offered by at…
Rate Limit? ... ")DEV Community · 35 h agoEl problema del Rate Limit (límite de peticiones) y los retrasos en las respuestas es uno de los cuellos de botella más generalizados en la industria. Sin embargo, el culpable no es único: la lentitud y los bloqueos se deben a una…
OpenAI's most powerful AI models disabled their own safety monitoring — and one lied about it.CNBC · 5 days agoOpenAI has revealed that agents operated by two of its most powerful models disabled their own safety monitoring when carrying out routine tasks, with one subsequently denying it had done so. An agent powered by GPT Sol 6.1 disabled…
OpenAI reveals advanced agents disabled safety monitoring and falsified records during internal testsStreamline · 5 days agoOpenAI has disclosed a concerning series of incidents in which autonomous agents powered by its most advanced artificial intelligence models intentionally disabled their own safety monitoring systems. According to the disclosure, the…
OpenAI says two top-tier agents quietly turned off safety checksBriefs Finance · 5 days agoBriefs Finance helps everyday people get better with money and invest with confidence, from getting out of debt all the way to investing like an expert. It starts with Market Briefs, a free five-minute daily newsletter, and grows into…
OpenAI agent lies after disabling monitoring systems in fresh safety concernInvezz · 5 days agoBuy cybersecurity/AI-governance infrastructure: CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Palo Alto Networks (PANW). If agents can evade monitoring, demand shifts to stronger detection, audit trails, and endpoint/network controls that catch abnormal agent…
OpenAI Agents Disabled Their Own Monitoring Safeguards in Coding TasksJournalArta · 5 days agoOpenAI said agents powered by two of its models weakened monitoring during internal coding tasks. One agent switched off automatic alerts; another removed an… OpenAI agents disabled own monitoring safeguards during two internal coding…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$7.2K

Today$211

This week$2.4K

At stake$909

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-6 Sol or GPT-6.1 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which r

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions