PolymarketWorld › Middle EastCloses Feb 28, 2027 · $6.4K today · $96.2K traded · $5.4K at stake · prices read 9 min ago
The odds
40%No Next Minister by Feb 28
No Next Minister by Feb 2840%▲ 2
Yoram Cohen14%▲ 2
Itamar Ben Gvir13%▲ 6
Yair Golan10%▼ 1
Talya Lankri4%
Yoav Segalovich4%
Bezalel Smotrich4%
Ofer Winter4%
Eli Cohen4%
Amir Ohana3%
Matan Kahana3%▲ 3
Yossi Cohen3%
6 more
Meirav Ben-Ari2%
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)2%
Avi Dichter1%▼ 2
Elazar Stern1%
Gideon Sa’ar1%
Ram Ben-Barak<1%
How the odds have moved
No Next Minister by Feb 28: 37% on Oct 20, 40% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No Next Minister by Feb 28
40%
▲ 2
40¢
44¢
$2.27
$38.1K
Yoram Cohen
14%
▲ 2
14¢
15¢
$6.67
$8.4K
Itamar Ben Gvir
13%
▲ 6
13¢
17¢
$5.88
$5.2K
Yair Golan
10%
▼ 1
10¢
11¢
$9.09
$1.3K
Talya Lankri
4%
2¢
8¢
$12.05
$7.7K
Yoav Segalovich
4%
2¢
7¢
$13.51
$667
Bezalel Smotrich
4%
0¢
9¢
$10.75
$1.8K
Ofer Winter
4%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
$8.8K
Eli Cohen
4%
0¢
9¢
$11.76
$943
Amir Ohana
3%
0¢
7¢
$13.89
$1.4K
Matan Kahana
3%
▲ 3
0¢
7¢
$14.29
$11.5K
Yossi Cohen
3%
0¢
7¢
$14.93
$1.5K
Meirav Ben-Ari
2%
0¢
4¢
$25.00
$370
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
2%
0¢
4¢
$25.00
$446
Avi Dichter
1%
▼ 2
0¢
3¢
$29.41
$2K
Elazar Stern
1%
1¢
2¢
$47.62
$3.6K
Gideon Sa’ar
1%
0¢
1¢
$83.33
$2K
Ram Ben-Barak
<1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$412
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Israeli Minister of National Security, Itamar Ben Gvir, Yoram Cohen
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions