Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Dec 31, 2028 · $3.9K today · $765K traded · $36K at stake · prices read 20 min ago

The odds

31%December 31, 2028

December 31, 20262%
June 30, 202713%▲ 1
December 31, 202722%
December 31, 202831%

How the odds have moved

December 31, 2026: 2% on Oct 20, 2% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
December 31, 2026	2%		2¢	2¢	$43.48	$153K
June 30, 2027	13%	▲ 1	12¢	13¢	$7.69	$73.3K
December 31, 2027	22%		21¢	22¢	$4.55	$477K
December 31, 2028	31%		30¢	31¢	$3.23	$61.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Texas

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Crossroads of Texas GO TEXAN Country Festival draws crowdsCBS News · 22 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas GO…
Texas early voting data trends, what analysts are focusing on in the Texas Senate raceCBS News · 11 h agoCBS News Sunday Morning CBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Sunday7am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm WCCO News Sunday Morning 7am CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA…
Warm, mild Sunday ahead for North TexasCBS News · 11 h agoCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA News This Morning Sunday 8am
Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country Festival gets underway in WaxahachieCBS News · 32 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas Go…
Baseball bat vendor discusses the draw at the Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country FestivalCBS News · 32 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Baseball bat vendor…
What makes the Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country Festival a boon for WaxahachieCBS News · 32 h agoCBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8am CBS News Miami This Morning 10am CBS News New York Saturday 11am Hometown High Q Classics CBS News Texas 9am
North Texas seeing rain chances return next weekCBS News · 35 h agoOctober 24, 2026 / 7:21 AM CDT / CBS Texas North Texas was off to a seasonable start on Saturday morning, with temperatures mainly in the 50s. Temperatures will remain above average this weekend, with highs in the lower to middle 80s…
WATCH LIVE: Texas AG Ken Paxton holds campaign event in Selma, TexasFox News · 2 days agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallies supporters during a "Come and Take It" campaign tour stop in Selma, Texas. WATCH LIVE: Texas AG Ken Paxton holds campaign event in Selma, Texas Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallies supporters…
Tomorrow's Top 25 Today: Texas vaults back into top 10 as BYU, Texas Tech fall in college football rankingsCBS Sports · 27 h agoAnother week in the 2026 season has brought about another round of upsets, and after multiple losses to top-10 teams, there are set to be some more changes to the new college football rankings. No. 2 BYU and No. 8 Texas Tech each took…
North Texas churches push congregations to vote earlyCBS News · 11 h agoCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Sunday7am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm WCCO News Sunday Morning 7am CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA News This Morning Sunday…
Alabama Football Injury Updates against Texas A&MAlabama Crimson Tide On SI · 30 h agoTUSCALOOSA, Ala.— Alabama will be without several key players for the Crimson Tide's homecoming matchup against Texas A&M on Saturday afternoon. Team captain and leading receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams will miss the second straight game…
How Christianity Became a Battleground in the Texas Senate RaceNewsweek · 11 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico are making Christianity a defining issue in the home stretch of Texas’ U.S. Senate race, offering sharply different visions of what faith should mean in…

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.14Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.14T.

Reaches $1.5T87%
Reaches $1.75T77%

Falls to $800B7%
Falls to $700B4%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2028 11:59 PM ET

Traded$765K

Today$3.9K

This week$17.3K

At stake$36K

In the news453 headlines today, 4,856 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Texas enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption c

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions