OpenAI resumes training on...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closed, awaiting its result Closed Fri 12:21 AM ET · $1.3K today · $64.2K traded · $6.5K at stake

The last odds before it closed

>99%Not resumed by October 20
  • Not resumed by October 20>99%▲ 2
  • October 19<1%▼ 1
  • October 20<1%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Not resumed by October 20: 97% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Not resumed by October 20 >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $38.1K
October 19 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $697
October 20 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.3K
On or before September 28 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $222
September 29 <1% 2¢ $62.50 $159
September 30 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $147
October 1 <1% ▼ 11 0¢ $582
October 2 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $366
October 3 <1% ▲ 1 2¢ $55.56 $283
October 4 <1% 1¢ $844
October 5 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $328
October 6 <1% 0¢ $291
October 7 <1% 2¢ $41.67 $233
October 8 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $397
October 9 <1% ▼ 3 1¢ $642
October 10 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $394
October 11 <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $322
October 12 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $366
October 13 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $607
October 14 <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $6K
October 15 <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $1.7K
October 16 <1% ▼ 4 1¢ $4.8K
October 17 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2.6K
October 18 <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $2.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT

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Tech › AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

85%Google
  • Google85%▼ 5
  • Anthropic13%▲ 5
  • OpenAI1%
18 more
  • Meta<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
Tech › AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

54%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3154%▼ 17
  • October 2717%▲ 2
  • October 2911%▲ 8
11 more
  • October 264%▼ 1
  • October 284%▲ 1
  • October 303%▲ 2
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 31<1%▼ 1
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions