Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Nov 30 · $218 today · $17K traded · $1.4K at stake · prices read 55 min ago

The odds

36%Meta
  • Meta36%▼ 1
  • Alibaba17%
  • OpenAI14%▼ 1
  • Google14%▲ 2
  • Moonshot8%▲ 3
  • Z.ai5%▲ 2
  • SpaceXAI3%
  • Tencent3%▲ 1
  • Xiaomi3%
  • ByteDance2%
  • Thinky2%
  • DeepSeek2%▼ 1
4 more
  • Anthropic2%
  • Poolside<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%

How the odds have moved

Meta: 20% on Oct 20, 36% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 24, 11 PM ETMeta: 31% → 38%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 20, 11 PM ETMeta: 20% → 28%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Meta 36% ▼ 1 36¢ 39¢ $2.56 $2.3K
Alibaba 17% 17¢ 20¢ $5.00 $1.5K
OpenAI 14% ▼ 1 14¢ 15¢ $6.71 $3.8K
Google 14% ▲ 2 14¢ 21¢ $4.81 $1.4K
Moonshot 8% ▲ 3 7¢ 13¢ $7.69 $1.8K
Z.ai 5% ▲ 2 2¢ 11¢ $9.01 $628
SpaceXAI 3% 2¢ 6¢ $17.54 $495
Tencent 3% ▲ 1 0¢ 6¢ $15.87 $431
Xiaomi 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.95 $633
ByteDance 2% 0¢ 6¢ $17.54 $455
Thinky 2% 1¢ 5¢ $22.22 $776
DeepSeek 2% ▼ 1 0¢ 5¢ $21.28 $658
Anthropic 2% 1¢ 3¢ $34.48 $435
Poolside <1% 0¢ 1¢ $491
MiniMax <1% 0¢ 1¢ $411
Mistral <1% 0¢ 1¢ $799

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Tech › AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

86%Google
  • Google86%▼ 4
  • Anthropic9%▲ 1
  • OpenAI1%
18 more
  • Meta<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
Tech › AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

72%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3172%▲ 7
  • October 2714%▼ 6
  • October 286%▲ 1
11 more
  • October 295%
  • October 262%▼ 2
  • October 301%▼ 1
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 31<1%▼ 1
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1
PolymarketCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $51.2K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions