Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30
<1%
2¢
$62.50
$11.3K
December 31
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.00
$3.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
China urges opening Bab al-Mandeb in first joint statement with regional nationThe Star · 35 h agoIn its first formal statement with a Red Sea nation on the fallout from the US-Iran war, China said in a joint communique with Djibouti that it backs “constructive efforts” to ensure international shipping lanes are safe and open. The…
China backs reopening of Bab al-Mandeb as oil supply disruptions mountNational Herald · 5 days agoBeijing backs efforts to secure international shipping lanes amid Houthi threats near Yemen and disruption to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, while analysts raise the possibility of Chinese naval escorts. China has backed calls for…
China backs calls for reopening of Bab al-Mandeb amid global oil disruptionsNews18 · 5 days agoBeijing, Oct 22 (PTI) China on Thursday backed calls for reopening the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, a key international shipping route disrupted by Houthi attacks amid their conflict with Saudi Arabia, as global oil supplies face mounting…
Houthis Hold Mayyun Island, Bab el-Mandeb Transits Down 47%House of Saud · 6 days agoTwo simultaneously contested chokepoints have compressed the economics of every cargo moving between Asia and Europe: Hormuz, where Iran’s state actors operate, and Bab el-Mandeb, where a non-state force now holds the island commanding the…
Bab al-Mandeb: The Battle That Could Redefine Yemen’s Political FutureFair Observer · 6 days agoThe battle for the Bab al-Mandeb Strait is no longer simply another episode in Yemen’s protracted war. It has become a test of who can defend Yemen’s strategic coastline, protect one of the world’s most important maritime corridors, and…
Red Sea and Bab el‑Mandeb Escalation Tightens Screw on Global Grain and Food TradeCMB News · 6 days agoRenewed Houthi attacks around Bab el‑Mandeb disrupt Red Sea shipping, lifting freight and risk premiums for grains, oilseeds and sugar. Renewed fighting around Yemen and the Bab el‑Mandeb Strait is tightening constraints on Red Sea…
Iran’s IRGC warns blockade could extend to the Bab al-Mandeb Strait and the Suez CanalFXStreet · 7 days agoIran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Monday that Tehran has not yet completely closed the Strait of Hormuz and can expand the scope of the blockade to the Bab al-Mandeb Strait and the Suez Canal, Tehran Times reported…
Russia and Saudi Arabia urge de-escalation around Bab el-MandebMEO · 9 days agoManama – Russia and Saudi Arabia have voiced concern over rising tensions in the southern Arabian Peninsula and around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, stressing the need to protect maritime security and keep international shipping routes open…
Fierce clashes erupt near Yemen’s Bab al-Mandeb StraitDaijiworld.com · 9 days agoDaijiworld Media Network - Sanaa Sanaa, Oct 18: Fierce fighting erupted near Yemen’s strategic Bab al-Mandeb Strait on Sunday as government forces launched a fresh offensive against Houthi positions in the area, a government military…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
