Montana Senate Election Winner
92%Kurt Alme (R)
- Kurt Alme (R)92%▼ 1
- Independent7%
- Alani Bankhead (D)<1%
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Montana Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
91%Kurt Alme
- Kurt Alme91%
- Seth Bodnar8%
- Alani Bankhead<1%
How the odds have moved
Kurt Alme: 90% on Oct 20, 91% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme | 91% | 91¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 399.6K | |
| Seth Bodnar | 8% | 8¢ | 8¢ | $11.90 | 447.4K | |
| Alani Bankhead | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 188.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Montana Senate winner? (2026)Kurt Alme (R)Kalshi 91%Polymarket 92%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Montana Senate, Kurt Alme, Seth Bodnar
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Buttigieg endorses independent candidate Seth Bodnar over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate raceOctober 23, 2026 / 12:23 PM EDT / CBS News Former U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has endorsed the independent candidate in the Montana Senate race, Seth Bodnar, over the Democratic nominee, Bodnar's campaign announced Friday… -
Buttigieg endorses independent over Democratic nominee in Montana Senate racePete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary and popular Democratic Party surrogate who has confirmed considering a 2028 presidential bid, is endorsing independent Montana U.S. Senate candidate Seth Bodnar, according to an… -
Seth Bodnar attracting Democratic and Republican voters as an independent candidate for US SenateFormer University of Montana president said the time is right for an independent. Seth Bodnar, an independent, visits with crowd members at an Indivisible Missoula U.S. Senate candidate debate in September 2026. Bodnar is the former… -
Buttigieg Endorses Independent in Montana Senate RaceJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “Pete Buttigieg, the former Transportation Secretary and popular Democratic Party surrogate who has confirmed considering a 2028 presidential bid, is endorsing independent Montana U.S. Senate… -
WATCH: Montana AG Opens Investigation After DNC Allegedly Offered Democrat Alani Bankhead a Job to Quit Her Senate RaceBankhead claims the DNC offered her a staff position in exchange for quitting and endorsing independent candidate Seth Bodnar. During an appearance on Montana PBS last week, Bankhead was asked whether anyone had offered her anything of… -
Alani Bankhead wants to be ‘the fighter in DC’by Keila Szpaller, Daily Montanan October 20, 2026 Alani Bankhead’s quest to win a U.S. Senate seat as a newcomer to politics doesn’t sound like an impossible task to former Gov. Brian Schweitzer. Schweitzer, a Democrat who won a race for… - Top Dem Breaks Ranks With Shock Senate EndorsementThe unexpected show of support came with the Republican candidate leading in the polls. Pete Buttigieg has made a shock endorsement in the Montana Senate race. The former transportation secretary, 44, broke ranks with the Democratic Party…
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House Speaker's Bozeman visit draws response from Senate candidate Seth BodnarBOZEMAN, Mont. â Independent U.S. Senate candidate Seth Bodnar responded after House Speaker Mike Johnson visited Bozeman to campaign for Republican candidates Aaron Flint and Kurt Alme.In a statement, Bodnar criticized Alme and tied him… -
Montana Politics: Please don’t vote for Alani BankheadHere’s a “letter to the editor” I submitted to several Montana newspapers: Let us all remember how Daines and the Republicans gamed the system last spring in order to insert yet another billionaire shill, Kurt Alme, into the Senate race… -
Shannon O’Brien Deserves Respect for Putting Montana’s Future FirstO’Brien is hardly alone in her assessment that Seth Bodnar is the candidate who represents our values and can beat Kurt Alme The circular Montana Democratic Party firing squad began no sooner than the ink dried on the heartfelt decision by… - Opinion: Stop the insanity. Vote for Seth Bodnar.The Glasgow Courier Opinion: Stop the insanity. Vote for Seth Bodnar. Independent U.S. Senate candidate Seth Bodnar at a campaign stop in Glasgow. We've all heard the saying, "insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and…
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Democrat Sam Forstag outraises Republican Aaron Flint in western US House districtAs the 2026 election cycle nears its close, campaign spending continues to heat up in Montana’s competitive races. Campaign finance filings through Oct. 14 show Democrat Sam Forstag with a lead in both total fundraising and cash on hand…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.