Minnesota Senate Election Winner
86%Peggy Flanagan (D)
- Peggy Flanagan (D)86%▼ 2
- Michele Tafoya (R)14%▲ 1
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Minnesota Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
83%Peggy Flanagan
- Peggy Flanagan83%▼ 2
- Michele Tafoya17%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Peggy Flanagan: 87% on Oct 20, 83% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan | 83% | ▼ 2 | 83¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 1.2M |
| Michele Tafoya | 17% | ▲ 2 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 2.6M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Minnesota Senate winner? (2026)Michele Tafoya (R)Kalshi 17%Polymarket 14%3 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Minnesota Senate, Peggy Flanagan, Michele Tafoya
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Poll: Democrat Peggy Flanagan Narrowly Leads Republican Michele Tafoya in Minnesota U.S. Senate RaceDemocrat Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is narrowly leading renowned sports broadcaster Republican Michele Tafoya in the Minnesota U.S. Senate race, new polling shows. A Rasmussen Reports survey released on Thursday shows Flanagan leading Tafoya… -
Michele Tafoya says Iran war has gone on "longer than I think people were ready for"Some Republican candidates are vowing to break with President Trump on certain issues, including U.S. Senate candidate Michele Tafoya of Minnesota. CBS News correspondent Jonah Kaplan spoke with Tafoya as well as her opponent, Peggy… -
Minnesota GOP Senate candidate Michele Tafoya on where she would break with Trump if electedNew polling shows Minnesota Republican Senate candidate Michele Tafoya making gains in her race against Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. CBS News correspondent Jonah Kaplan spoke with Tafoya about how she would serve as a check on… -
Tim Walz, Peggy Flanagan under fire over Minnesota fraud, gang violenceTaxpayer fraud and rising gang violence in Minnesota spark heavy criticism from local residents and leaders. Minnesota Senate candidate Michelle Tafoya highlights up to $9 billion in wasted funds under the Tim Walz and Peggy Flanagan… -
Senate Race in Minnesota Tightens as Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya Face OffHome » Trending » Senate Race in Minnesota Tightens as Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya Face Off Recent updates from the Cook Political Report indicate that the dynamics of the race have shifted, moving from a “likely Democrat” rating to… -
Peggy Flanagan says she is a Phi Beta Kappa member, despite "false reporting"October 21, 2026 / 3:15 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota U.S. Senate hopeful and current Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is disputing reporting that she lied about her status as a member of the Phi Beta Kappa honors society. On Wednesday, her campaign… -
Cook Political Report Shifts Minnesota Senate Race toward GOP Candidate Michele Tafoya!This is big news! The Cook Political Report shifted Minnesota’s US Senate race toward Michele Tafoya, the polished and unapologetic Republican candidate. Tafoya is running against a wild-eyed far left socialist, Lt. Governor Peggy… -
Peggy Flanagan & Tim Walz: Booty Bumping for Voter RegistrationsWashington Free Beacon‘s Chuck Ross reports that Governor Tim Walz and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan directed millions of dollars toward booty-bumping kits. The kits help junkies take drugs through the rectum. Walz and Flanagan called… -
Cook Political Report shifts Minnesota Senate race toward GOP while South Carolina race moves leftWashington Examiner Election forecaster Cook Political Report shifted Minnesota’s Senate race toward GOP nominee Michele Tafoya on Tuesday, while shifting two other Senate races in favor of of Democrats in Mississippi and South Carolina… -
Kornacki: Tide ‘Working Against’ Democrat in Minnesota Senate RaceWednesday on NBC’s “TODAY,” network chief data analyst Steve Kornacki said Minnesota’s tight Senate race could move in the GOP’s favor because Democratic nominee, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, has faced a lot of criticism over the… -
Minnesota Senate: Liar? ‘Give Me a Freakin’ Break’Mark Trahant examines the political attacks against Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a citizen of the White Earth Nation, arguing that President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Republican challenger Michele Tafoya and negative polling… - Poll: Flanagan Leads Tafoya in Minnesota Senate RaceBy Jim Thomas | Saturday, 24 October 2026 10:15 AM EDT Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan holds a narrow lead over Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL sideline reporter, in the state's open U.S. Senate race amid scrutiny of a welfare…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.