New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Kalshi Tech › AI Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $21 today · $32.7K traded · $8.2K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

53%chance▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Yes: 60% on Oct 20, 53% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	53%	▼ 3	52¢	53¢	$1.89	62.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, New York Times

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Pat McAfee throws jab at New York Times again as he goes shirtless on ‘College GameDay’New York Post · 27 h agoPat McAfee found another way to mix in a jab at the New York Times during Saturday’s edition of “College GameDay.” Just minutes into the show centered around Utah’s undefeated start, and just minutes past 7 a.m. local time in Salt Lake…
Longtime ESPN host attacks New York Times in expletive-filled rantFox News · 2 days agoESPN host Michael Wilbon called out The New York Times for ending its sports division and refusing to let staff reporters appear on his show over the years. Longtime ESPN host attacks New York Times in expletive-filled rant ESPN host…
Longtime ESPN host launches into angry tirade at New York Times, calling them 'gutless motherf------'Fox News · 2 days agoESPN host Michael Wilbon called out The New York Times for ending its sports division and refusing to let staff reporters appear on his show over the years. Longtime ESPN host Michael Wilbon unleashed an expletive-laced rant against The…
Elizabeth Holmes Claims New York Times Misquoted Her. The Reporter Speaks Out After ‘You Can See Everything’ Release: ‘I Wish I’d Kept That Notebook’Variety · 2 days agoIn the documentary “You Can See Everything,” Elizabeth Holmes tries to convince Nathan Fielder that she was misquoted by The New York Times. “They’re not playing me. They’re playing a character I created,” the disgraced Theranos founder is…
Pat McAfee takes shot at The New York Times while taking off shirt on ‘GameDay’Awful Announcing · 29 h agoESPN was true to its word that when Lee Corso retired, the iconic mascot headgear game pick went with him. What replaced that as the centerpiece of College GameDay is Pat McAfee standing on the studio desk and taking off his shirt. How fun…
Pat McAfee ramps up feud with New York Times with antagonistic shirtless display on College GameDayDaily Mail · 33 h agoBy RICH JONES, US DEPUTY SPORTS EDITOR Pat McAfee ramped up his feud with The New York Times after a critical column about his presence on ESPN College GameDay. Earlier this month, The Athletic, owned by The New York Times, ran a column by…
New York Times (NYSE:NYT) & Nexxen International (NASDAQ:NEXN) Head to Head ComparisonDefense World · 42 h agoPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 Nexxen International (NASDAQ:NEXN – Get Free Report) and New York Times (NYSE:NYT – Get Free Report) are both communication services companies, but which is the better stock? We will compare…
New York Times Goes With the Hitler Argumentfreerepublic.com · 32 h agoWho edits this stuff? A rant from the New York Times editorial board compares the Trump administration to some of history’s worst dictatorships: Ms. Omar deserves the presumption of innocence just like anyone else. There are reasons that…
New York Times Hypes ‘Far-Right,’ ‘Arch-Conservative, ‘Ultraconservative' House GOPNewsbusters · 23 h agoOn Monday a New York Times investigation, “House Republicans Demand Deep Cuts to Spending Bills They Rarely Support” offered a throwback to the paper’s insanely biased days of ideological labeling. The slant started in the subhead: G.O.P…
Bodies of ambushed Salvadoran soldiers found in Haiti, New York Times reportsStevens Point · 24 h agoPORT-AU-PRINCE, Oct 24 (Reuters) – Bodies believed to be those of four Salvadoran soldiers missing since an ambush by armed gangs in Haiti have been found outside the capital, Port-au-Prince, the New York Times reported on Saturday…
“THE NEW YORK TIMES GOT CAUGHT!” – Trump Nukes the New York Times After Admitting to Getting Duped by Fake Pollster With Completely Fabricated Numbers (VIDEO)The Gateway Pundit · 3 days agoPresident Trump on Thursday lit up the New York Times, slamming the outlet for using bogus numbers from a “totally fake” pollster while speaking to reporters, then later warning that his defamation lawsuit is growing stronger by the day…
New York Times Editor: Trump Voters Lie That BLM Is a Violent Marxist Hate GroupNewsbusters · 23 h agoNew York Times Patrick Healy, a former political reporter now the paper’s deputy Opinion editor, issued a strange piece as part of a special section on George Floyd on the anniversary of his death: “How Conservatives Think About George…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onPacer

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$32.7K (62,170 contracts)

Today$21

At stake$8.2K

In the news140 headlines today, 1,849 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Southern District of New York has found OpenAI liable for copyright infringement (or any of the counts alleged by the Times), then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions