María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? (Before Jan 2030)
The odds
Jul 28, 2030even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 20272%
- Before Jan 1, 20285%
- Before Jan 1, 20297%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 203013%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 203179%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 2% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.4K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 3.1K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 7% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 84.00 |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 13% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 1.3K |
| Before Jan 1, 2031 | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 1.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Fed chair, Federal Reserve chair, Powell
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The Latest Inflation Data Spells Bad News for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the Stock MarketThe CPI rose at an annualized rate of 3.4% in August, prompting the Fed to hike rates for the first time in three years at its September meeting. Fed chairman Kevin Warsh also warned more rate increases might be on the way if inflation… -
Is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh About To Pop CoreWeave's Bubble?CoreWeave (CRWV -0.44%) has taken center stage in the AI bubble debate. Concerns about CoreWeave brought down the broader chip and tech sectors last week, and the stock could continue to serve as an avatar for the broader AI sector as… -
Two Cheers For Kevin Warsh's "Quiet" FedU.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks during the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group in Bangkok, Thailand, Friday, Oct. 16, 2026. (AP Photo/Dhitaraht Dhanarahtsombat) Two Cheers For Kevin… -
Assessing Jerome Powell's eight years as Fed chairHere are some highlights from the conversation. The Fed moved from trade war uncertainty to pandemic collapse, from supply chain breakdown to an inflation surge, from regional bank stress to direct political pressure on the institution… -
3 Words From Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Suggest the Worst Is Yet to Come for Wall StreetLast week, Wall Street's artificial intelligence (AI)-driven bull market celebrated its fourth anniversary. Earlier this month, the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC -1.09%) and tech-powered Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC -2.15%) both catapulted to new… - Breitbart Business Digest: Wall Street Is Daring Kevin Warsh to Raise Interest RatesA Fed Hike Could Break the Market’s Fedamentalism Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh appeared at the International Monetary Fund’s annual meeting in Bangkok and reiterated his refusal to tell investors what the Fed plans to do…
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Fed Minutes Show Another Rate Hike Is Likely This Year as Kevin Warsh's FOMC Battles Persistent Inflation. Here's Why That Signal Matters for Stocks and Bonds Heading Into Year-End.According to the latest meeting minutes released Oct. 7 by the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Kevin Warsh and the other central bankers are planning to hike interest rates again in 2026. The FOMC has two more… -
Kevin Warsh's Fed May Not Cut Rates Soon. That's Why This Dividend Stock Belongs in Your Portfolio.Recent FedWatch forecasts point to an 89% chance of a rate hike at the Fed’s December meeting. If interest rates stay high, well-established dividend stocks like AbbVie could be good investments. AbbVie is a Dividend King and has delivered… -
Fed Chair Refuses To Signal Another Rate Hike. Markets Are Betting On An October Pause.Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh declined to signal whether the central bank would raise interest rates again this month, defending his move away from advance policy guidance as inflation remains elevated and borrowing costs rise across… -
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Says AI Investment Is Raising Costs Before Productivity Gains Begin to ArriveFed Chair Kevin Warsh warns that AI investment is adding inflation pressure before productivity gains arrive, as central banks reassess borrowing costs. The global artificial intelligence investment boom is creating an unexpected challenge… -
Fed Chair Warsh offers no insight into rate decisions at IMF meetingSpeculation about additional hikes followed reports this week of unexpected increases in inflation. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh spoke at the International Monetary Fund meetings in Bangkok on Friday, offering no indications on rate… -
Hassett on Powell Staying at Fed, Inflation and Oil SpikePublished on 04/30/2026 at 03:56 pm EDT The rupee resists oil, supported by Jio Platforms IPO flows October 22, 2026 at 05:08 am EDT Capital Economics' MacAdam on ECB, Kevin Warsh, Bessent Opinion: A strong Euro is suffocating European…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions