Brazil Presidential Election
94%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva94%▲ 78
- Flávio Bolsonaro6%▼ 78
Install
Waitaki Ōamaru Ward by-election winner? (November 27, 2026)
The odds
70%Keith Marshall
- Keith Marshall70%▲ 1
- Richard Vinbrux29%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Keith Marshall: 70% on Oct 19, 70% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Marshall | 70% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | |
| Richard Vinbrux | 29% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Waitaki Ōamaru Ward, Keith Marshall, Richard Vinbrux
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions