Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-01 House election: Shannon Taylor vote percent
The odds
50.23%median
40%58%
Median 50.23%Middle half 47.81% – 52.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.75% on Oct 19, 50.23% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 50.00 | ||
| At least 44% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | 50.00 | ||
| At least 46% | 90% | ▲ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | |
| At least 48% | 74% | ▲ 1 | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | |
| At least 50% | 53% | ▲ 1 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 620 |
| At least 52% | 31% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 105 |
| At least 54% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 56% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Shannon Taylor
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Lawsuit against Shannon Taylor comes from GOP-linked law firmA partner at the firm endorsed Taylor’s Republican opponent. A lawsuit against Democratic House candidate Shannon Taylor was brought by a firm linked to her Republican opponent. Taylor is challenging Rep. Rob Wittman in Virginia’s 1st… -
NEW AD: Sheriffs Call Out Rob Wittman’s Lies, “Smear Campaign” Against Shannon TaylorGood stuff from the Shannon Taylor for VA01 campaign, pushing back on MAGA Rob Wittman’s outrageous lies, slanders, etc. NEW AD: Sheriffs Call Out Rob Wittman’s Lies Against Shannon Taylor Multiple local fact checkers called Wittman’s… -
Richmond’s new ballpark was supposed to pay for itself. Is that still going to happen?Asked if Richmond residents should expect higher taxes to fund the stalled Diamond District development, city officials say they're still working to figure that out. Javascript is required to use this website. Richmondâs new ballpark was… -
New Poll by State Navigate, Which Nailed the 2025 VA Governor’s Race, Shows Dems “poised for their largest win in Virginia’s congressional elections in decades”A new poll of Virginia, by State Navigate (which nailed the 2025 Virginia governor’s, Lt. Governor’s and Attorney General’s races) is out this morning. Check it out here, and see below for highlights. In general, this is great news for… -
Federal government puts Richmond housing authority in ‘troubled’ statusThe designation initiates a formal oversight process that, under extreme circumstances, could lead to federal takeover of the authority. Only 4% of public housing authorities nationwide are currently deemed troubled. Javascript is required… -
UVA’s run defense will be tested Friday by Duke’s Nate Shepherd: ‘Probably the best one in the league’Daily Press ‘It’s a tragedy’: On-campus death is under investigation at ODU Challenger makes play for mayoral seat in West Point’s only contested town race WJCC School Board approves redistricting plan for 2027-28 school year Virginia Sen… -
Rand Paul's 'Six Penny Plan' can fix federal budget | Las Vegas Review-JournalFormer Trump campaign officials warn that the White House may face scrutiny over taxpayer-funded advertisements promoting President Donald Trump. A former Trump campaign official told CNN that those responsible for the ads could face legal… -
Early voting surges in Virginia ahead of congressional midtermsDemocrats hold a 10-point lead over Republicans in the race for Congress, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The findings come as dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump and concerns about the economy shape voter attitudes… - Virginia congressional candidate denies ex-prosecutor's wrongful firing claimShannon Taylor says a former employee's retaliation lawsuit is a Republican attempt to discredit her amid a tight U.S. House race. HENRICO, Va. (CN) — A Virginia Commonwealth’s Attorney and congressional candidate said on Wednesday that a…
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Where the candidates in three competitive Virginia US House races stand on the issuesIncumbent Republican representatives in Virginia’s 1st, 2nd, and 5th congressional districts are running in tight races against Democratic challengers. Congressional races in the 1st, 2nd and 5th congressional districts of Virginia this… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
One-on-one with Virginia's commissioner of electionsWWBT One-on-one with Virginia's commissioner of elections Nonprofits offer free rides to the polls in Richmond Fact checking political ads: Shannon Taylor & Rob Wittman
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions