Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent
The odds
45.96%median
38%58%
Median 45.96%Middle half 43.82% – 47.96%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.03% on Oct 21, 45.96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 42% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 44% | 74% | ▲ 1 | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | |
| At least 46% | 50% | ▲ 1 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | |
| At least 48% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 50% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 52% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 207 | |
| At least 54% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Jen Kiggans
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MAGA Rep. Jen Kiggans (R-VA02) Being Funded by Elon Musk and One of the Top “DOGE Bros,” Antonio GraciasSo here’s the thing: not every sociopath, scumbag and/or criminal went to work for Elon Musk’s “DOGE,” but everyone who worked for “DOGE” is a sociopath, scumbag and/or criminal for sure. I mean, it’s hard to even know where to start when… -
DCCC Releases New TV Ad in VA-02: “Two Choices” – Jen Kiggans “runs fromer her job and votes with Trump 100% of the time”See below for a new ad from the DCCC, entitled “Two Choices,” and “highlighting how while Jen Kiggans runs from her job and votes with Trump 100% of the time, former Congresswoman Elaine Luria will always fight for Virginia. ” DCCC… -
Letters for Oct. 25: Former U.S. Rep Luria is no Ronald ReaganLuria’s pledge to vote against people keeping their hard-earned money is surely not what Reagan would do. My wife Susan and I admire U.S. Rep. Jen Kiggans’ bipartisan work for military families, national defense, Virginia’s Native American… -
Lucas indictment unlikely to move needle for midterm voters, expert saysDespite Sen. Louise Lucas’s indictment occurring so close to an election, the impacts on next week’s midterms could be minimal. That’s according to Stephen Farnsworth, professor emeritus of political science at the University of Mary… -
Exclusive: Rep. Ryan Zinke’s SEAL PAC Releases Fierce Ad Comparing Socialist, Communist Dictators to Liberal DemocratsRep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT), who founded SEAL PAC, released a fierce ad that compares communist and socialist dictators to several liberal, Democrat lawmakers. Zinke warned that the United States faces “a war of ideologies” from communism and… -
Trump's House nightmare deepens as famed election guru pushes 19 more races towards DemocratsBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Trump and his party are facing fresh warning signs ahead of the midterms as 19 more House races shift toward Democrats, with six competitive seats moving out of toss-up territory and into… -
EXCLUSIVE: Washington Reporter fact check cited in tossup race’s adRep. Jen Kiggans (R., Va.) is arguing in one of her final campaign ads of the 2026 election that her opponent, former Rep. Elaine Luria (D., Va.), can’t be trusted by voters of Virginia’s 2nd District. Kiggans’s campaign told the… -
Elaine Luria Launches “Republicans for Elaine” Coalition, Releases Digital Video with Former Jen Kiggans SupportersElaine Luria Launches Republicans for Elaine Coalition, Releases Digital Video with Former Kiggans Supporters Republicans for Elaine member: “I’m a Ronald Reagan Republican and I’ll be voting for a Democrat for the first time.” Luria’s new… -
DNC Targets Battleground Districts With August ‘Organizing Summer’ CampaignThe Democratic National Committee (DNC) unveiled a monthlong organizing campaign during Congress’s August recess to highlight opposition to the GOP’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Dubbed “Organizing Summer,” the effort, which was announced… -
Forecaster Moves 19 House Races to DemocratsThe Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan forecaster, moved 19 House races toward Democrats on Friday, 23 October 2026. Our 2026 US midterm elections dossier tracks the race up to Election Day on Tuesday, 3 November. This story is part of… -
Elections Forecaster Shifts 19 More House Races In Democrats’ FavorA major elections forecaster shifted 19 House races in the Democrats’ favor Friday, including Republican-held seats. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted some races from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up” and others from “Solid… -
Hunt Military Communities, U.S. Navy, Department of War, and Community Leaders Celebrate Closing of Homeport Hampton Roads Phase II, Launching Housing Program for Unaccompanied SailorsProgram will deliver more than 8,000 new and improved beds for unaccompanied Sailors across Norfolk, Newport News, and Virginia Beach Speakers at the celebration included Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao; Under Secretary of War…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions