New Mexico Governor election: Deb Haaland vote percent

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $627 traded · $457 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

55.5%median
44%66%
Median 55.5%Middle half 53% – 58.07%

How the odds have moved

Median: 55.38% on Oct 19, 55.5% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 46% 98% 95¢ $1.03 200
At least 48% 97% 94¢ $1.03
At least 50% 93% 90¢ 96¢ $1.04
At least 52% 84% 79¢ 88¢ $1.14
At least 54% 67% 62¢ 71¢ $1.41 8.00
At least 56% 45% 40¢ 49¢ $2.04 610
At least 58% 26% 21¢ 30¢ $3.33 400
At least 60% 12% 7¢ 16¢ $6.25 456
At least 62% 4% 8¢ $12.50
At least 64% 3% 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Mexico Governor, Deb Haaland

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  • In New Mexico governor’s race, Deb Haaland’s historic bid tests Democrats’ political holdTwin Cities · 4 days agoBy SUSAN MONTOYA BRYAN and SAVANNAH PETERS But first she has to convince New Mexicans that they should keep Democrats in charge. The state persistently ranks near the bottom nationally on poverty, crime and public education, and…
  • The 2028 crop hits New MexicoPOLITICO · 35 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/24/2026 10:36 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun and Irie Sentner Good Saturday morning. This is Ali Bianco in the driver’s seat. Only 10 days left until the…
  • The 2028 crop hits New Mexico for inaugural ‘Matanza’ rallyPOLITICO · 34 h agoThe “Fourth in the Nation Matanza Rally” is testing the appetite for a more Latino-specific cultural touchstone to round out the presidential candidate event rotation. 10/24/2026 11:19 AM EDT Prospective presidential candidates are known…
  • Election 2026 New Mexico GovernorPost Register · 5 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) FILE - Democratic gubernatorial candidate Deb Haaland campaigns along a roadside in San Felipe Pueblo, N.M., on June 2, 2026. There was a problem…
  • Vance Defends Ramaswamy Amid Uproar Over Controversial Anti-Acton Ad - The Arena with Kasie Hunt - Podcast on CNN PodcastsCNN · 4 days agoVP JD Vance and Vivek Ramaswamy both speak out about the controversial Ramaswamy ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother. Rep. Greg Landsman gets emotional while talking about the ad and his friend Amy Acton. A new CNN poll shows that…
  • New Mexico governor responds to Trump’s call to change state name to ‘New America’@fox8nola · 6 days ago(Gray News) – The governor of New Mexico is responding to President Donald Trump’s post on social media Monday calling for the state to change its name to “New America.” Trump said in a post on Truth Social, “New Mexico should immediately…
  • AP News Summary at 9:30 a.m. EDTThe Batesville Daily Guard · 4 days agoIran says 7 oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russian missiles pound Kyiv as Moscow says over 800 Ukrainian drones downed Iran says 7 tankers were damaged in the Strait of Hormuz, and other…
  • AP News Summary at 8:58 a.m. EDTThe Batesville Daily Guard · 4 days agoIran says 7 oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russian missiles pound Kyiv as Moscow says over 800 Ukrainian drones downed Iran says 7 tankers were damaged in the Strait of Hormuz, and other…
  • AP News Summary at 7:21 a.m. EDTThe Batesville Daily Guard · 4 days agoIran says 7 oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…
  • Special interview: 1-on-1 with Deb HaalandKOB 4 · 6 days agoKOB 4 Special interview: 1-on-1 with Deb Haaland ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. – Election Day is a couple of weeks away, and KOB 4 is airing extended conversations with both candidates for governor about their goals for New Mexico. Democrat Deb…
  • AP News Summary at 8:21 a.m. EDTThe Batesville Daily Guard · 4 days agoIran says 7 oil tankers attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…
  • AP News Summary at 7:52 a.m. EDTThe Batesville Daily Guard · 4 days agoIran says 7 oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz as fears grow of a return to war Russia frees American Stephen Hubbard after over 4 years behind bars Vatican says tests show Pope Leo XIV won't need further treatment for lung…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions