Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 16.6% on Oct 20, 15.86% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10% | 97% | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 400 | |
| At least 12% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 358 |
| At least 14% | 77% | ▼ 2 | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 1.2K |
| At least 16% | 48% | ▼ 5 | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 2.1K |
| At least 18% | 26% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 80.00 |
| At least 20% | 11% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| At least 22% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 24% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.2K | |
| At least 26% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Governor, Dave Bronson
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Alaska Governor's race heats upGreg Kelly is joined by Republican Alaska Governor candidate Bernadette Wilson, who is squaring off against three others to replace term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy Around 200 emergency personnel are deployed to fight the blaze at the… -
Disqualified House candidate decision raises questions on the future of the governor’s raceANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - A court decision for a state house race is raising questions about the future of former Attorney General Treg Taylor, a Republican running for governor. On Thursday, an Anchorage Superior Court ruled that the… -
Gubernatorial candidates make their pitch at the Alaska Federation of Natives conventionThe three gubernatorial candidates who spoke Friday at the Alaska Federation of Natives convention found plenty of common ground on education, fisheries, public safety and other subjects. But some divides emerged in what was, for the most… -
Gun Owners of America endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor, urges ranking of all three RepublicansHome » Gun Owners of America endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor, urges ranking of all three Republicans Oct. 24, 2026 – Gun Owners of America has endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor of Alaska, placing her first in its recommended… -
‘Cat and mouse’: House speaker says he’s looking forward to new administrationANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Alaska’s House Speaker Bryce Edgmon, NA-Dillingham, struggled to describe the relationship Friday between the majority caucus and the state Legislature. “The last eight years, we have been having to play — I… -
Alaska judge rules that candidate should be disqualified after failing to disclose financial interestsOct. 23—A state judge ruled Thursday that Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom erred when she allowed a legislative candidate to run for office despite failing to disclose his financial interests as required by law. The ruling could have implications… -
Trump wants to remove Dan J. Sullivan from the ballot Alaskans are already voting onANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - The president has made clear his disdain for Petersburg’s Dan Sullivan, a man running for senate with an identical name as the incumbent senator, hinting at legal action the administration is pursuing. Wednesday… -
Dunleavy refuses to back a candidate to succeed him, encourages ranking all three RepublicansANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Alaska’s Republican governor hasn’t backed a candidate for governor, and walking out of a Wednesday press conference, it doesn’t seem like he will. “We need to vote for all three,” Gov. Mike Dunleavy said… -
Alaska declares disaster for Ketchikan after landslide damages infrastructureAlaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy declared a state disaster for Ketchikan after a landslide damaged the Ward Cove Electric Substation and other infrastructure. Substation repairs are estimated at $1.5 million. Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy has… -
JUST IN: Heartbreak Strikes Sarah Palin as She Shares a Painful UpdateSarah Palin has shared the kind of personal announcement no one ever wants to make. The former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice-presidential nominee posted a deeply emotional message Thursday after losing the man who had been by… - JUST IN: Heartbreak Strikes Sarah Palin as She Shares a Painful Update – 100PercentFedUp.com – by IsaacSarah Palin has shared the kind of personal announcement no one ever wants to make. The former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice-presidential nominee posted a deeply emotional message Thursday after losing the man who had been by…
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Alaska Family Council backs 41 candidates based on pro-family, pro-life issuesThe Alaska Family Council has just released its list of preferred candidates in the upcoming Nov. 3 general election. In addition to endorsing 39 candidates for the State Legislature, the endorsement urges Alaskans to vote “yes” on Ballot…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions