Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closed Sun 11:06 PM ET · $43.1K today · $1K traded · $35.3K at stake

Settled Between 51% and 52%A day before, traders had a median of 48.18%

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ At least 44%99%▲ 1
  • ✓ At least 45%99%▲ 3
  • ✓ At least 46%99%▲ 6
  • ✓ At least 47%99%▲ 14
  • ✓ At least 47.5%99%▲ 29
  • ✓ At least 48%99%▲ 46
  • ✓ At least 49%99%▲ 68
  • ✓ At least 50%99%▲ 80
  • ✓ At least 51%96%▲ 89
  • At least 52%4%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

At least 44%: 97% on Oct 20, 99% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ At least 44% 99% 1.1K
✓ At least 45% 99% 17.2K
✓ At least 46% 99% 12.3K
✓ At least 47% 99% 11.5K
✓ At least 47.5% 99% 1.3K
✓ At least 48% 99% 13.5K
✓ At least 49% 99% 9.5K
✓ At least 50% 99% 16.1K
✓ At least 51% 96% 18.1K
✗ At least 52% 4% 26.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Luiz Inácio Lula, Brazil, Lula

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions