What will JD Vance say during his Fox News town hall?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 12 · $7.2K today · $7.2K traded · $5.7K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

86%Democrat
  • Democrat86%
  • Biden71%
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline68%
  • Inflation66%
  • Midterm64%
  • Fraud63%
  • 2028 / Campaign61%
  • Iran / Iranian57%
  • Trump (3+ times)57%
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability57%
  • America First54%
  • Corrupt / Corruption43%
8 more
  • Illegal Alien40%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence40%
  • Medicare / Medicaid35%
  • Tariff33%
  • Israel / Israeli26%
  • China / Chinese23%
  • Ceasefire20%
  • Event does not qualify2%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democrat 86% 82¢ 89¢ $1.12 3.0K
Biden 71% 67¢ 74¢ $1.35 26.00
Oil / Gas / Gasoline 68% 64¢ 71¢ $1.41 2.8K
Inflation 66% 60¢ 71¢ $1.41 125
Midterm 64% 60¢ 68¢ $1.47 356
Fraud 63% 61¢ 65¢ $1.54 183
2028 / Campaign 61% 57¢ 65¢ $1.54 9.00
Iran / Iranian 57% 55¢ 60¢ $1.67 2.6K
Trump (3+ times) 57% 53¢ 61¢ $1.64 508
Afford / Affordable / Affordability 57% 52¢ 62¢ $1.61 107
America First 54% 52¢ 56¢ $1.79 529
Corrupt / Corruption 43% 39¢ 47¢ $2.13 75.00
Illegal Alien 40% 37¢ 42¢ $2.38 40.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence 40% 36¢ 43¢ $2.33 43.00
Medicare / Medicaid 35% 31¢ 38¢ $2.63 4.00
Tariff 33% 25¢ 36¢ $2.78 102
Israel / Israeli 26% 23¢ 28¢ $3.57 6.00
China / Chinese 23% 19¢ 27¢ $3.70 145
Ceasefire 20% 15¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.00
Event does not qualify 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 116

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: JD Vance, Fox News

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What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

75%Democrat
  • Democrat75%▲ 1
  • Economy / Economic75%
  • America First68%▲ 26
17 more
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline66%▲ 14
  • Trump (3+ times)63%
  • Fraud63%▼ 2
  • Working Class / Middle Class62%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence61%▲ 18
  • Nuclear61%▲ 6
  • 2028 / Campaign58%
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability56%▼ 5
  • Inflation56%
  • Biden56%
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing46%
  • Iran / Iranian43%
  • Tariff35%▼ 21
  • China / Chinese33%▼ 3
  • Data Center28%
  • Healthcare23%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 4
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $222 today

What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

98%Save America Act
  • Save America Act98%▲ 5
  • Gulf of America94%▲ 16
  • Sanctuary94%▲ 9
32 more
  • France93%▲ 14
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating91%▼ 1
  • China / Chinese88%▲ 7
  • America First88%▲ 18
  • Tariff (3+ times)87%▲ 10
  • Barack Hussein Obama85%▼ 3
  • Nuclear (3+ times)85%▲ 4
  • Sleepy Joe82%▲ 3
  • Iran (5+ times)82%▲ 4
  • Hormuz78%▲ 1
  • ICE73%▼ 8
  • Made in America / American Made73%▲ 5
  • Supreme Court72%▼ 8
  • Drill Baby Drill68%▼ 2
  • Kamala65%▲ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine64%▼ 4
  • Blockade51%▲ 7
  • Fraud (3+ times)47%▲ 23
  • Israel / Israeli31%▼ 1
  • Electricity27%▼ 1
  • Data Center25%▼ 15
  • Fentanyl19%▲ 5
  • Windmill18%▲ 7
  • Ceasefire18%▲ 13
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence17%▼ 7
  • Social Security (5+ times)15%▲ 4
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation13%▼ 8
  • Trump Account11%▼ 10
  • Palestine / Palestinian11%▲ 6
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $116K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

98%Dividend / Stimulus
  • Dividend / Stimulus98%▲ 13
  • Golden Age98%▲ 42
  • Save America Act97%▲ 2
36 more
  • Sanctuary91%▲ 5
  • France90%▲ 8
  • China / Chinese88%▲ 2
  • America First88%▲ 1
  • Tariff (3+ times)87%▲ 4
  • Nuclear (3+ times)86%▲ 7
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating84%▼ 11
  • Barack Hussein Obama84%▼ 6
  • Made in America / American Made84%▲ 12
  • Sleepy Joe83%▼ 1
  • Iran (5+ times)82%
  • Gulf of America78%▲ 12
  • Hormuz75%▼ 6
  • Supreme Court74%▼ 3
  • Canada / Canadian74%▲ 35
  • Kamala72%▲ 9
  • Russia / Ukraine63%▼ 18
  • ICE61%▼ 14
  • Drill Baby Drill59%▼ 14
  • Blockade56%▲ 12
  • Israel / Israeli50%▲ 13
  • Fraud (3+ times)46%▲ 23
  • Space Force42%▼ 5
  • Electricity31%▼ 10
  • Data Center26%▼ 23
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence24%▼ 2
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation22%▲ 2
  • Social Security (5+ times)20%▼ 5
  • Windmill19%▼ 1
  • Fentanyl17%▼ 3
  • Ceasefire17%▲ 11
  • Trump Account17%▼ 6
  • Palestine / Palestinian10%▲ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East5%▲ 3
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $68.3K today

What will Trump say this week? (Before Nov 2, 2026)

100%Ceasefire
  • Ceasefire100%▲ 42
  • Vivek / Ramaswamy98%▲ 2
  • Bibi / Netanyahu95%▲ 10
23 more
  • Melania91%▲ 6
  • Refinery79%▲ 9
  • Nobel72%▲ 1
  • Mortgage71%▲ 3
  • Ethanol71%▲ 24
  • Cuba / Cuban57%▼ 9
  • Houthi56%▲ 6
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice55%▼ 20
  • Third Term53%▲ 6
  • Autopen / Auto Pen52%▲ 10
  • Zohran / Mamdani31%▼ 36
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security24%▼ 19
  • Antifa24%▲ 10
  • Crypto / Bitcoin19%
  • Tomahawk17%▼ 24
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis14%▲ 4
  • Epstein13%▼ 3
  • UFO / UAP12%▲ 4
  • Golden Dome11%▲ 4
  • Peace in the Middle East9%▼ 4
  • Uranium9%▼ 1
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market8%▲ 3
  • Make Iran Great Again5%
KalshiCloses Mon 10:00 AM ET · $18.5K today

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

95%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene95%▲ 7
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck69%▲ 1
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus65%▼ 5
10 more
  • Piggy42%▼ 7
  • Fat Slob34%
  • Low Energy23%▼ 4
  • Crazy Nancy22%▼ 3
  • Crazy Bernie21%▲ 1
  • Little Communist14%▲ 1
  • Rocket Man14%
  • Biden Crime Family11%▼ 4
  • Comrade Kamala10%▼ 1
  • Fake Tapper4%▼ 13
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $7.4K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Daytona Beach, Florida?

96%Save America Act
  • Save America Act96%
  • Hormuz90%
  • China / Chinese84%
33 more
  • Nuclear (3+ times)84%
  • Tariff (3+ times)84%
  • Gulf of America80%
  • America First79%
  • Iran (5+ times)79%
  • Supreme Court78%
  • Made in America / American Made76%
  • Canada / Canadian67%
  • Russia / Ukraine66%
  • Kamala63%
  • Small Business54%
  • Steel50%
  • Blockade49%
  • Greenland39%
  • Israel / Israeli34%
  • Space Force31%
  • Veteran28%
  • Insurance22%
  • Fraud (3+ times)21%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence19%
  • Trump Account18%
  • Elon / Musk17%
  • Data Center13%
  • Ceasefire13%
  • Electricity13%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation12%
  • Social Security (5+ times)11%
  • Fentanyl10%
  • Windmill8%
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%
  • Peace in the Middle East3%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Event does not qualify2%
KalshiCloses Nov 13 · $6K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions