What will JD Vance say during his rally in Howell, Michigan?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closed today 3:00 PM ET · $37.3K today · $37.3K traded · $27.6K at stake

Settled Biden, Border, 2028 / Campaign

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Biden99%
  • ✓ Border99%
  • ✓ 2028 / Campaign99%
  • ✓ Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime99%
  • ✓ Social Security99%
  • ✓ Fraud99%
  • ✓ Illegal Alien99%
  • ✓ Working Class / Middle Class99%
  • ✓ Inflation99%
  • ✓ Steel99%
  • ✓ Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
  • ✓ America First99%
18 more
  • ✓ Small Business99%
  • ✓ Nuclear99%
  • Midterm1%
  • Economy / Economic1%
  • Auto Worker / Autoworker1%
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
  • Ford / General Motors / GM1%
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing1%
  • Healthcare1%
  • American Dream1%
  • Canada / Canadian1%
  • Tariff1%
  • Fake News1%
  • Electric Vehicle / EV1%
  • China / Chinese1%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
  • Made in America / American Made1%
  • Event does not qualify1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Biden 99% 3.5K
✓ Border 99% 2.5K
✓ 2028 / Campaign 99% 2.4K
✓ Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime 99% 2.5K
✓ Social Security 99% 1.1K
✓ Fraud 99% 2.1K
✓ Illegal Alien 99% 2.5K
✓ Working Class / Middle Class 99% 1.8K
✓ Inflation 99% 1.8K
✓ Steel 99% 2.0K
✓ Oil / Gas / Gasoline 99% 4.1K
✓ America First 99% 3.2K
✓ Small Business 99% 5.3K
✓ Nuclear 99% 2.1K
✗ Midterm 1% 7.9K
✗ Economy / Economic 1% 5.6K
✗ Auto Worker / Autoworker 1% 5.0K
✗ Afford / Affordable / Affordability 1% 11.1K
✗ Ford / General Motors / GM 1% 2.2K
✗ Manufacture / Manufacturing 1% 3.2K
✗ Healthcare 1% 2.0K
✗ American Dream 1% 4.0K
✗ Canada / Canadian 1% 1.5K
✗ Tariff 1% 1.1K
✗ Fake News 1% 1.9K
✗ Electric Vehicle / EV 1% 896
✗ China / Chinese 1% 1.5K
✗ AI / Artificial Intelligence 1% 19.3K
✗ Made in America / American Made 1% 6.8K
✗ Event does not qualify 1% 1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: JD Vance, Howell, Michigan

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What will JD Vance say during his Fox News town hall?

86%Democrat
  • Democrat86%
  • Biden70%
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline68%
17 more
  • Inflation68%
  • Midterm63%
  • Fraud63%
  • 2028 / Campaign60%
  • Iran / Iranian60%
  • Trump (3+ times)57%
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability57%
  • America First55%
  • Corrupt / Corruption44%
  • Illegal Alien42%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence41%
  • Medicare / Medicaid35%
  • Tariff30%
  • Israel / Israeli26%
  • China / Chinese23%
  • Ceasefire20%
  • Event does not qualify4%
KalshiCloses Nov 12 · $7.2K today

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

75%Democrat
  • Democrat75%▲ 1
  • Economy / Economic75%
  • America First68%▲ 26
17 more
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline66%▲ 14
  • Trump (3+ times)63%
  • Fraud63%▼ 2
  • Working Class / Middle Class62%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence61%▲ 18
  • Nuclear61%▲ 6
  • 2028 / Campaign58%
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability56%▼ 5
  • Inflation56%
  • Biden56%
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing46%
  • Iran / Iranian43%
  • Tariff35%▼ 21
  • China / Chinese33%▼ 3
  • Data Center28%
  • Healthcare23%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 4
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $222 today

What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

100%China / Chinese
  • China / Chinese100%▲ 19
  • Tariff (3+ times)100%▲ 22
  • Barack Hussein Obama100%▲ 12
32 more
  • Iran (5+ times)100%▲ 22
  • Nuclear (3+ times)100%▲ 18
  • Gulf of America100%▲ 22
  • Hormuz100%▲ 23
  • Drill Baby Drill100%▲ 30
  • Save America Act98%▲ 4
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating92%▲ 1
  • Sanctuary91%▲ 6
  • America First90%▲ 20
  • France88%▲ 9
  • Supreme Court86%▲ 7
  • Made in America / American Made83%▲ 16
  • ICE78%▼ 3
  • Sleepy Joe76%▼ 3
  • Kamala67%▲ 8
  • Russia / Ukraine60%▼ 8
  • Israel / Israeli36%▲ 4
  • Fraud (3+ times)36%▲ 12
  • Blockade26%▼ 18
  • Data Center19%▼ 21
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence18%▼ 5
  • Fentanyl17%▲ 3
  • Windmill15%▲ 5
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire12%▲ 8
  • Palestine / Palestinian10%▲ 4
  • Trump Account9%▼ 12
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation9%▼ 12
  • Electricity7%▼ 22
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $155K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

98%Dividend / Stimulus
  • Dividend / Stimulus98%▲ 12
  • Golden Age98%▲ 40
  • Save America Act97%▲ 2
36 more
  • America First93%▲ 7
  • Sanctuary91%▲ 5
  • France90%▲ 7
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating89%▼ 6
  • China / Chinese89%▲ 4
  • Tariff (3+ times)88%▲ 6
  • Nuclear (3+ times)88%▲ 10
  • Barack Hussein Obama86%▼ 4
  • Made in America / American Made85%▲ 11
  • Iran (5+ times)85%▲ 4
  • Gulf of America83%▲ 17
  • Drill Baby Drill83%▲ 13
  • Hormuz81%▲ 1
  • Sleepy Joe78%▼ 6
  • Kamala72%▲ 9
  • Supreme Court71%▼ 6
  • Canada / Canadian70%▲ 36
  • Russia / Ukraine66%▼ 16
  • ICE63%▼ 14
  • Blockade60%▲ 17
  • Israel / Israeli53%▲ 15
  • Space Force40%▼ 12
  • Fraud (3+ times)39%▲ 17
  • Data Center28%▼ 25
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence28%▲ 3
  • Electricity25%▼ 16
  • Windmill20%▲ 1
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation20%▼ 1
  • Fentanyl19%
  • Ceasefire19%▲ 12
  • Social Security (5+ times)18%▼ 7
  • Trump Account12%▼ 10
  • Palestine / Palestinian10%▲ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
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What will Trump say this week? (Before Nov 2, 2026)

100%Ceasefire
  • Ceasefire100%▲ 42
  • Vivek / Ramaswamy98%▲ 2
  • Bibi / Netanyahu95%▲ 10
23 more
  • Melania90%▲ 10
  • Refinery82%▲ 12
  • Mortgage76%▲ 8
  • Cuba / Cuban75%▲ 9
  • Ethanol72%▲ 20
  • Nobel70%▼ 2
  • Houthi59%▲ 4
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice57%▼ 18
  • Autopen / Auto Pen55%▲ 10
  • Third Term55%▲ 9
  • Zohran / Mamdani31%▼ 36
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security30%▼ 13
  • Antifa25%▲ 11
  • Tomahawk25%▲ 3
  • Crypto / Bitcoin19%▼ 4
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis14%▲ 4
  • Epstein13%▼ 6
  • UFO / UAP12%▲ 4
  • Golden Dome11%
  • Uranium10%
  • Peace in the Middle East8%▼ 5
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market8%▲ 3
  • Make Iran Great Again5%▲ 1
KalshiCloses Mon 10:00 AM ET · $18.7K today

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

95%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene95%▲ 7
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck69%▼ 7
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus65%▼ 6
10 more
  • Piggy42%▼ 7
  • Fat Slob34%
  • Low Energy23%▼ 4
  • Crazy Nancy22%▼ 3
  • Crazy Bernie21%▲ 1
  • Little Communist14%▲ 1
  • Rocket Man14%
  • Biden Crime Family11%▼ 4
  • Comrade Kamala10%▼ 1
  • Fake Tapper4%▼ 13
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $7.4K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions