Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Jul 1, 2028 · prices read 9 h ago

The odds

75%Tim Burchett
  • Tim Burchett75%
  • Ben Wikler55%
  • Mike Dunleavy51%
  • Rich McCormick35%
  • Jeff Jackson30%
  • Pat Grassley20%
  • Joe Lombardo18%
  • Bryan Steil15%
  • Brian Kemp12%
  • Don Davis12%
  • Ritchie Torres12%
  • Chris Sununu10%
8 more
  • Thomas Massie10%
  • Doug Ducey7%
  • Kari Lake6%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene6%
  • Lara Trump5%
  • Letitia James5%
  • Spencer Pratt4%
  • Dan Bongino4%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Tim Burchett 75% 70¢ 80¢ $1.25
Ben Wikler 55% 50¢ 60¢ $1.67
Mike Dunleavy 51% 46¢ 56¢ $1.79
Rich McCormick 35% 30¢ 40¢ $2.50
Jeff Jackson 30% 25¢ 35¢ $2.86
Pat Grassley 20% 15¢ 25¢ $4.00
Joe Lombardo 18% 13¢ 23¢ $4.35
Bryan Steil 15% 10¢ 20¢ $5.00
Brian Kemp 12% 7¢ 17¢ $5.88
Don Davis 12% 7¢ 17¢ $5.88
Ritchie Torres 12% 7¢ 17¢ $5.88
Chris Sununu 10% 5¢ 15¢ $6.67
Thomas Massie 10% 5¢ 15¢ $6.67
Doug Ducey 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09
Kari Lake 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Marjorie Taylor Greene 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Lara Trump 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Letitia James 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Spencer Pratt 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Dan Bongino 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: U.S. Senate, Tim Burchett, Ben Wikler

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

31%None
  • None31%▲ 6
  • IA10%▲ 1
  • IA, KS6%▼ 5
125 more
  • KS4%
  • All 73%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS3%▲ 1
  • AK, IA2%▲ 1
  • AK2%▲ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX2%▲ 1
  • ME2%
  • IA, ME1%
  • IA, KS, ME1%
  • OH1%
  • TX1%
  • IA, KS, TX1%
  • IA, TX1%
  • IA, OH1%
  • AK, KS1%
  • MI1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH1%
  • IA, KS, OH1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX1%
  • IA, KS, MI1%
  • KS, OH1%
  • IA, MI1%▼ 1
  • KS, TX1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%
  • AK, KS, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME<1%
  • AK, IA, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • IA, ME, TX<1%
  • KS, ME<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME<1%
  • IA, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, OH, TX<1%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions