María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
The odds
49%Before Jan 20, 2029
- Before Jan 1, 202714%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202832%
- Before Jan 20, 202949%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 14% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | ▼ 1 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 415 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 32% | 31¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 185 | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 49% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 12.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, OpenAI and Anthropic
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UK funds £100m AI biosecurity lab with OpenAI and AnthropicThe two AI companies will add up to £200m in credits and model access, ahead of Wednesday’s Budget. The UK government will put £100m into a new AI Biosecurity Lab, which will use advanced AI to spot and respond to biological threats… -
OpenAI and Anthropic spend limits per user in Next.jsNext.js · AI costs · 2026-10-17 You add an AI feature to your Next.js app, and the route works. Then one account, or one script, calls it a few thousand times overnight, and your OpenAI or Anthropic bill shows it the next morning. Most… -
UK Establishes AI Biosecurity Lab Backed by OpenAI and AnthropicThe UK government is establishing the AI Biosecurity Lab, backed by £100 million of government funding and up to £200 million in company commitments from OpenAI and Anthropic, the Cabinet Office announced on October 24, 2026. The… -
Prompt caching not working? Check it in OpenAI and Anthropic (Next.js)Next.js · AI costs · 2026-10-17 This guide pairs with Spend Caps Kit, and if you want the next step, read OpenAI and Anthropic spend limits per user in Next.js. Everything here is for a Next.js App Router route using the Vercel AI SDK (ai… -
OpenAI and Anthropic 429 errors in Next.js: which to retry, which to stopNext.js · AI costs · 2026-10-17 This guide pairs with Spend Caps Kit, and if you want the next step, read Prompt caching not working? Check it in OpenAI and Anthropic (Next.js). Checked 17 Oct 2026 with openai 7.36.0 and @anthropic-ai/sdk… -
UK to Establish World's First AI Biosecurity Lab With £300 Million Backing From Government, OpenAI and AnthropicThe AI Biosecurity Lab (AIBL) will receive £100 million ($133.7 million) in government funding, alongside up to £200 million ($267.49 million) in commitments from OpenAI and Anthropic, as the U.K. moves to strengthen defences against… - UK Government Establishes National AI Biosecurity Lab With £100m Budget, OpenAI And Anthropic CreditsPublished 24 Oct 2026, 05:19 UTC UK to establish a national AI Biosecurity Lab with £100 million public funding. OpenAI and Anthropic pledge up to £200 million in model credits and compute. Anthropic’s pledge structure differs from…
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Media: DeepSeek Raised $15 Billion to Compete with OpenAI and AnthropicChinese startup DeepSeek raised about 100 billion yuan ($15 billion) in a new funding round — one of the largest in the country’s history — to step up competition with US artificial intelligence developers OpenAI and Anthropic. Bloomberg… -
Where are YC founders now? OpenAI and Anthropic, mostly!Historically, the archetypal YC startup followed a predictable technical trajectory. Founders focused on the development of relational database-backed CRUD (Create, Read, Update, Delete) applications. The technical complexity was bounded… -
DeepSeek Raises $15 Billion To Scale and Challenge OpenAI and Anthropic DominanceDeepSeek raised $15 billion, with CATL and Tencent among its largest backers. DeepSeek has raised roughly $20.6 billion in six months, ahead of a planned Shanghai IPO. OpenAI and Anthropic still out-raise DeepSeek, but its efficiency could… - Meta, OpenAI and Anthropic AI agents get user-approved logins via 1PasswordThe agent executes the task without seeing or storing the password at any time. The product, called 1Password for Agents, adds a check between the agent and the login page. The agent taps into a sign-in form, presents a unique digital key…
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Corporate America Is Getting Tired Of Paying Top Dollar for AI. OpenAI And Anthropic Have A Problem.The shift is creating an unexpected problem for OpenAI, Anthropic and other developers of advanced models. Their customers aren't abandoning artificial intelligence. They're becoming more sophisticated buyers, mixing expensive models with…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions