Brazil Presidential Election
76%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro76%▼ 3
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%▲ 2
Install
Next government of the United Kingdom? (Before Jan 1, 2030)
The odds
15%Labour majority
- Labour majority15%▲ 1
- Reform UK majority9%
- Reform UK minority8%
- Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition7%
- Reform UK minority + Conservative support7%
- Labour minority5%
- Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition5%
- Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support5%
- Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support5%
- Labour minority + SNP support4%
- Reform UK and Conservative coalition4%
- Labour minority + Green support4%
7 more
- Conservative majority4%
- Conservative minority + Reform UK support4%
- Conservative minority4%
- Reform UK minority + DUP support3%
- Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition3%
- Conservative minority + DUP support3%
- Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition2%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour majority | 15% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 1.4K |
| Reform UK majority | 9% | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 30.00 | |
| Reform UK minority | 8% | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 17.00 | |
| Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 311 | |
| Reform UK minority + Conservative support | 7% | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 23.00 | |
| Labour minority | 5% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $10.75 | 191 | |
| Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 139 | |
| Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 144 | |
| Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.05 | 139 | |
| Labour minority + SNP support | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $13.33 | 171 | |
| Reform UK and Conservative coalition | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.70 | 79.00 | |
| Labour minority + Green support | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.89 | 166 | |
| Conservative majority | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | 44.00 | |
| Conservative minority + Reform UK support | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | 9.00 | |
| Conservative minority | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $15.63 | 243 | |
| Reform UK minority + DUP support | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | 112 | |
| Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | 61.00 | |
| Conservative minority + DUP support | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | 30.00 | |
| Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 30.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United Kingdom
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.